Syrian Observatory Sees Major Decline in Syria War Death Rate

Report shows smallest increase in decade-long conflict

The new report from the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights put the death toll of the 10 years of war in Syria at 387,000. This is the first report from the group since January, when it was around 380,000.

Among the 387,000 slain were 117,000 civilians, 22,000 of them children. Deaths also included 57,000 “non-extremist” rebels and 67,500 who were from al-Qaeda or ISIS. 130,000 were pro-government fighters, which included both soldiers and militias.

The silver lining here is that the increase from 380,000 to 387,000 in 12 months means that the death toll is rising at its lowest rate of the entire conflict. This is an extremely positive sign, reflective of how much the Syrian War is winding down.

This should be unsurprising as a trend, because there is not so much territory to fight over anymore. With ISIS defeated in all but a few patches of desert, the main conflict now is between Syria and rebels in Idlib Province, which includes al-Qaeda and Turkish-backed groups.

Author: Jason Ditz

Jason Ditz is Senior Editor for He has 20 years of experience in foreign policy research and his work has appeared in The American Conservative, Responsible Statecraft, Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times, and the Detroit Free Press.