Speaking on the upcoming Turkish invasion of Syria, President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan has confirmed that not only will Turkey be attacking the
Kurdish YPG, as previously announced, but that he promised President Trump he would also take over the battle against ISIS
Turkey has been threatening to invade Kurdish YPG territory for months.
The invasion is expected to begin after the US withdraws from Syria.
Kurdish officials have indicated that their own fight with ISIS will
likely be on hold once they’re shifting to defend against Turkey.
Erdogan has long presented ISIS and the YPG as equal threats, and views
both as terrorist groups. Actually fighting ISIS is likely to be on hold
for quite some time, however, as Syria’s small ISIS territory is on the
opposite side of YPG territory.
In practice, this likely means that the Syrian government will move into
the area in the interim, allowing them to retake those towns on the
Euphrates River, and potentially the nearby natural gas facilities,
while the Kurds’ attention shifts northward.
Time for a Kurd – ISIS alliance..?!
If you can find ISIS. What is now called ISIS are basically smuggling bands in some Iraqi-Siryan borderlans, as neither Iraq or Syria were able to swoop in and clean it out. Some ISIS fighters remajn in Al-Ruqba refugee camp, keeping them selves alive by cornering humanitarian aid, and selling it to refugees. Another category of ISIS has been invented lately — places along Euphrates where local
Arab polulation rebelled against small YPG militant units controlling them. More and more Arabs in US/Kurd co trolled territory started to worry that they were going to be forced to stay in US created Kurdistan, and suffer the fate of Palestinuan majority gradually dispossed and permanently ruled by Kurds. US came to rescue Kurds — and bombed civilians as a result. Lately, that became a pattern. The cynicism of calling it SDF is grotesque. No Arabs are participating. They were participating only during the liberation from ISIS. But after that — they were put under YPG military control. Most fled to government controlled areas.
What the idiots that inhabit media space and government halls do not seem to get — ISIS was well funded, well provided with logistics, from transportation and weaponry to telecom. You can easily guess who funded all that — Saudi Arabia and Gulf minions before June 2017. When Prince Charming took over, things started changing. By toppling our ally Crown Prince Muhammed bin Nayaf — Saudi ruling Allegance Council signalled change of direction. King Salman was nit approving the direction, and our media then was full of stories how King was demented, and need to abdicate and cement MbN rule as King. After brazen attempt to cower Qatar into submission due to its Iranian gas sharing wealth in May — MbN was out by June. The new ruler organized a meeting in Kairo — and all hard conditions demanded of Qatar, were converted to PRINCIPLES. After that, the “anymosity” was more of an imlediment to US to get anythjng going in the Gulf. And iby accusing Qatar of sponsoring terorism, Saudi Arabia became suddenly virtuous — Wahhabis were delrived of funds by which Isis was suppljed with religious cult missionaries, and most living necessities. I suspect telecom must have been cut off as well. Wahhabis were in no position to complain – as Prince Charming proposed reforms on participation of women in public events, driving, opening moivie theaters, etc. Polularity drowned out any debate on Wahhabi belping poir Sunnus fight Assad. All other funds dried upas well.
Do neocons propose that taxpayers take over funding ISIS under some new beand name. The number of thirty thousand babded about is about the size of Syrian forces under Turkish command. The last and biggest contingent of about 13,090 came in when Jaish Al Islam signed up to Astana peace process, and fighters joined Turkish forces to fight Kurds and expell them from Arab majority regions — Turkish border area, Euphrates valley, Deir Azzor. Basucally, send YPG packing back to their majority adea of Kobane.
When these people in TV now lament over Syria, do not they know just how ridiculous they are? And if they are trying to win propaganda battle against Trump, they should reduce decibels — most people scent something foul when such fervor is exhibited.
In practice, Kurds will withdraw from area where Kurds are only a small minority, but YPG is currently administering a large areas of Arab populated villages and towns throughout US controlled area. This is called occupation, and Local population is starting to rebel. Sad to say, Kurds treated these rebellions as ISIS, and this is why there were so many civilian casualties. US cannot for ever pretend all this is ISIS. The only ISIS remaining is in small areas of no man’s land on border with Iraq and in refugee camp in Al Tanf area. These are not any more fighters as nobody is sponsoring them — no salaries,
telecom, ammunition, places to live. Basically, criminal gangs with no employment.
Since US will never let Damasus come in to clean up the area, and be celebrated as liberator from US and Kurds — Turkey is a logical choice. Turkey, with support from Russia and Iran suggested this long time ago. At this point nobody profits from rubbing it in — telling US that civilian rebellion is not ISIS. Damasus has been already embraced by many Gulf states, had numerous oreign ministers visits from Arab countries.presidential visits from Sudan and soon from Iraq. All countries in the Middle East are praising withdrawal as a key to stabilising region — basically game over. But neicons believe in keeping region tense, jeeping foothold and preventing Syria from getting political consoludation, territorial integration with region, and redevelopment.
Turkey may not need to oust YPG from border towns — again, majority Arab population under YPG military command. Kurds may just withdraw, leaving places under their iwn administration. Other people leaving will be teachers if Kyrdish language introduced in all Arab schools in places YPG administered. The visions of Greater Kurdistan are over. YOG will pay political price as other Kurd parties will challenge them.
Assad forces are mire likely to mive up into Deir Azzor, and clean up the remaining bands., Trat is —if in desparation neocons do not pull a stunt with a false flag — as God knows, they have plenty if believers in intelligence community. Yet, at this late hour, snd with overwhelming popular support for withdrawal from Middle East, this may backfire. Jordan already reopened borders with Syria, and reopened embassy. Things are moving. Iraqi president hailed the move as the key to stabilizing the region, and ending the cycle if interventions. Keep in mind, he is a Kurd.
“this likely means that the Syrian government will move into the area in the interim, allowing them to retake those towns”
So the Syrian government will govern Syria? Startling idea.
Some don’t like that government. Then again, there are many to be found who don’t like most government, such as many here who don’t like Trump government, and many here who don’t like Netanyahu government. So they don’t like Assad government? That isn’t even the biggest problem.