US officials continue to claim the right to attack Syria at any time if the country doesn’t follow through with its pledged chemical weapons disarmament, and that fact in and of itself is a major challenge to the deal.
That’s because “compliance” is going to mean different things to different people in a long and difficult process, and the inherent distrust between the US and Syria (and Russia) means there will be plenty of opportunities for misunderstanding.
Even the declaration of Syria’s arsenal to the international community is going to be such an opportunity, as experts say the US intelligence on the arms dates to before the civil war really picked up and is “probably outdated.”
Primarily this means the US no longer knows where a lot of the weapons are stored, because they’ve been moved again and again to keep them away from the rebels. Now, when Syria reveals an arsenal in a new location, the US will not be sure if it’s a known one from somewhere else, or a previously undocumented one, and will constantly suspect Syria is “holding back” some of its arms.
Existing intelligence is exactly why holding back arms is a bad idea, but the ongoing US suspicion of all things Syrian means that even if things are going apparently well, the US is likely to constantly be assuming problems, and Syria will constantly be worrying that the US is going to attack them for no good reason, because that’s something the US just does sometimes.
It is only to the extent that Russia can keep the two sides reasonably calm that the plan can move forward, since Syria will no doubt renege if US attack seems imminent, and the US will see every little thing as proof Syria is about to renege.
Yes. This is why "teeth" to a deal is just another "red line" opportunity for those who want a war to declare they get to have one. As soon as there was a red line, it was declared crossed, which was the whole point in pushing for one. Teeth to a deal is the same thing. As soon as there is something that can be found or declared that will get a war, that thing will be found or declared, constantly, and it will become a "credibility" issue to live up to.
Syria is the graveyard of all wrongful politics staged against the Syrian people, Syrian war is the graveyard of all terrorists supported or not by USA and EU and Saudis barbarians. Syria is the end of EU and US vulture capitalism wars for profits, Syrian war is a warning to tyrants of Middle East and their feudalism regimes, their barbarians and their heart eating savages. This is 2013 majority of nations looking for a functioning democracy to live a happy and prospers life, if a democracy is unable to understand this simple idea, then there is no such thing as democracy. The present US and EU democracy is scaring people by watching them 365 days a year, the present US and EU democracy is blind to see the suffering of humans in other countries yet the system spend billions of dollars wanting to know what people at home had for dinner, this is darn stupid if not crazy, the system spend billions of dollars in wars while they create homeless by thousands in each and every of these wars, this is sick if these politicians not mentally being sick.
In short, Empire USA achieves security only by expansion, only by canabalizing weaker nations to justify the expense of doing business by brutal imperialism.