This month’s upcoming P5+1 talks with Iran look poised to end in quick and perhaps predictable failure tonight as reports grow that the Obama Administration is planning to demand Iran accept a dramatically worse version of the same offer he made last year, which Iran accepted and then the US angrily reneged on.
But according to France the whole world, or at least the whole P5+1, is “united” behind the US offer and that there is absolutely no disagreement on the terms of the upcoming demand, which would demand that the Iranian government turn over 2,000 kg of uranium for production of fuel for its medical isotope reactor.
But Iran has already rejected the deal, and it isn’t hard to see why. The old deal, which involved 1,200 kg being turned into fuel would’ve given Iran many decades of fuel for an aging reactor that may not have that many years left. Iran was willing to accept the deal for more than they needed or wanted primarily as a confidence-building move.
But the mood is decidedly less conciliatory today, after Iran agreed to the old 1,200 kg deal and the US pulled the rug out from under it, then angrily demanded (and got) more anti-Iran sanctions because the deal never happened. 2,000 kg is a riduclous amount of fuel for the nearly half-century old reactor, and Iran is likely to meet the offer with added skepticism that even if accepted it will only be stalled again, and replaced with an even worse deal in 2011.
One thing i am wondering, does the new offer include Turkey as an intermediary?
I would just put a small caveat on anything coming out of the French Foreign Ministry at the moment. Kouchner is about to leave the government under very odd circumstances. On the one hand, it is being put about in the press that he will leave at the next cabinet re-shuffle, date unannounced. He, on the other hand, claims that he submitted a letter of resignation to Sarko in protest over the treatment of the Roma, which Sarko claims he never got. Things are probably a bit confused at the moment and inter-galactical support for the US proposal may not be as strong as all that!
What did the American Imperium do when Brazil and Turkey brokered a deal with Iran? A deal that was as good if not better than anyone could have imagined. They went bat shit crazy! Why? Because it showed the world what a bunch of hypocritical lunatics reside at 1600 Penn. And now the wheel turns once more.
It doesn't matter, the US is bankrupt, so anything they do has no sting to it.