Israel has been predicting imminent nuclear breakouts by Iran for a solid 40 years, never accurately. The latest not true breakout, according to Israeli officials, is 4-6 months.
Setting breakout dates is a way for Israel, and other hawks, to overstate the threat, and almost always comes with calls to attack Iran militarily before they reach breakout. Since they never reach breakout the whole thing is purely for narrative’s sake.
Even then, the claims are getting less reasonable all the time. Israeli officials qualified this claim as based on the US returning to the nuclear deal with Iran, because that’s something the Israelis are always trying to warn the US away from. US Senators are dutifully calling Israel’s warnings “red flags” and suggesting they may oppose the deal.
Yet a return to the nuclear deal shouldn’t change anything in practice, with Iran not enriching any uranium up to weapons-grade, and having ruled out attempting to make nuclear arms many years ago.
Indeed, negotiations on the deal are so slow that even getting it back in place in 4-6 months would be an accomplishment. Beyond that any changes at all are highly unlikely.
Who remembers Netanyahu in 1995 making the same claim???
Yup. Forty years. The problem is that most Americans according to polls already believe that Iran actually has nuclear weapons – not just a nuclear weapons program. Something like 70-odd percent of Americans believe that already. So it really doesn’t even matter that Israel makes these claims – they’ve already convinced the moronic US electorate due to the unending propaganda from the US government and the media (hat tip to David Sanger at the New York Times for his tireless work on that.)
Propaganda, how does it work?
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This is 75 year old tech. Any decently modern nation can technically break out with some effort. The key, if you’re interested in nonproliferation is to not cause nations to take that step … to convince them it’s more trouble than it’s worth.
In other words, the last thing to do is threatening them every day of the week.
Not to mention that Iran already knows it’s not worth the trouble. They’ve said so repeatedly.
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Thank you for making me laugh!
I’m still laughing!
Maybe Bennett can draw a little cartoon bomb like Nutty did
This article is not worth commenting and Antiwar.com should not publish this kind of worthless news in the first place…!
The article is great. It mocks Israel for their repeated exaggerations. The headline should have some adjectives before the word “Claims”. Like “Bogus” or “Nonsensical”. Plus, there’d have to be a ‘s attached to the word Israel.
You and I both know Israel is notorious to lying and exaggerations, but average Joe in US especially newbie to antiwar.com with illiterate political mind takes it differently… We know that if you repeat a lie in US political atmosphere it eventually becomes a fact in the mind of those illiterates…!
After all these Israeli predictions of an Iran bomb about to happen, might we finally get to see an Iranian bomb? I hope so. Then maybe they would have the leverage to make a peace deal with our hard cases who understand only nuclear threats.
Iran could have built a bomb 40 years ago but the ayatollah prevented it.
Israel Claims Israel Will End In 4-6 Months