The price of natural gas in the Ukraine is going up by about 50 percent for retail customers as of May 1, and will likely continue to rise through 2018 as the nation slashes its subsidies under demands from the IMF.
It is likely to be a hugely unpopular move by the state-owned Naftogaz company, but an inevitable one, as the ouster of the Yanukovych government has harmed Russo-Ukrainian relations and Russian company Gazprom is no longer being pressured to give them the friend’s price.
In practice this means a rise from $268 per 1,000 cubic meters to $368, the same price Gazprom charges other European nations like Germany. Interim PM Arseniy Yatseniuk is playing up the idea that the EU might provide them with some more subsidized natural gas, but whether that materializes remains to be seen, as they don’t have the surplus Russia does.
The price of natural gas in Europe is considerably higher than in North America, where both the US and Canada are paying south of $200. More expensive still is Asia, where prices continue to surge on short supply.
Ukraine has long struggled with its lack of domestic energy, and is hugely dependent on Russia’s Gazprom, the world’s largest producer by far. With Gazprom not having been paid in quite some time, the era of subsidies is over, and even if Europe ponies up a round of cheap gas to reward the new government in Ukraine, they won’t be able to sustain it over the long term.
I am wondering if this whole Ukraine/ Crimea situation was set up to manufacture a long term crisis where the U.S. sends emergency frac gas and tar sands oil to Europe, Ukraine, and other East European countries. The environmental concerns pushed aside by the need to get cheap gas to our desperate allies to fend off the Russians.
EU Will not and can not match such gap, the start of the Ukrainian people suffering is just about to began, but the Swedish bankers and IMF are happy happy.
Sanctions against Russia working already?
What price now for EU entry?
Not to worry the Empire will pick up the tab.
Ukraine is on its way to become another victim of the "Shock Doctrine". The likely consequences will be more rebellion.
The newly minted Ukrainian government is about to face it's biggest challenge yet…when the people of Ukraine realize that everything is going to cost way more than before. I'm sure that fact was never part of the public discourse prior to the Maidan Coup. Babushka and Dedushka are going to be wishing things had never changed soon enough. And when the commoners start to protest the new neo-nazies in charge will stomp down fiercely on their dissent.
Russia would also not be able to sustain subsidies to Ukraine over any length of time. Russia can only afford to give away gas at less than market prices by making the very same mistake that bankrupted the communists: spending money on foreign prestige projects by taking the bread out of their own people's mouths. That's possible in a dictatorship but not in a democracy. Thus, one way or the other, Ukrainians will have to pay market prices for what they get.
Lol. There is no free market on Earth. Just varying degrees. Don't be such a black and white thinker. The US empire has been abusing its position in the world since the collapse of the USSR. The factor economics always leaves out of the equation is power. Russia has been incredibly smart in both the Georgia crisis and the Ukraine crisis. Only taking what they know they can hold without having to face an insurgency. Putin has outsmarted the Western leaders and it makes them furious. Russia has just enough power to keep the empire at bay around its borders and by not over reacting to the Empire's aggression while standing up to the empie at the same time Putin and Russia are giving a great roadmap to how to oppose the evil empire on the potomac.
Any Ukrainian who thought admission to the EU would be the path to a land of milk and honey – "as seen on TV" – is now getting a rude awakening. Price increases, pay cuts, bank bailouts, and a government that will violently crush any dissent is what lies in the future for Ukraine.
EU can not match such gap, the start of the Ukrainian people suffering is just about to began, but the Swedish bankers and IMF are happy.