While most of the rebel leadership is refusing to attend peace talks, insisting that they want Assad to unilaterally resign and hold a conference instead focusing on who gets which positions in the new regime.
That’s been their position for a long time, but many of the rank-and-file rebels say that position is “outdated” and doesn’t reflect the reality of the stalemate on the ground, and the need for the Assad government’s involvement in any deal that really ends the fighting.
A year ago, the consensus among rebels was that Assad was in a losing position, but now many say that there is no reason to think he’s heading for defeat in the near term, and his control over territory around Damascus seems to be getting stronger, if anything.
Instead of the military victory the rebels envisioned, they are increasingly facing a three-way division of Syria, with Assad in control of the south, the Kurds in control of the northeast, and various rebel factions fighting each other over control of the northwest. The area between these spheres of influence is constantly being contested, suffering more and more damage.
7 thoughts on “Assad Likely to Remain in Power, Many Rebels Admit”
Antiwar.com readers and writers must realise this is how a Color Revolution works. Back in March 2011 the overwhelming emphasis was on "Assad stepping down" because this is how a Color Revolution works, the ruler or president of whatever country it is as the target country is a dictator who must step down and on whom all the ills of the past 30 years, as has been said, are projected.__But what appears to have happened is that the secular members of the Color Revolution organisations have gone on believing this, because it is what they were taught, failing to realise that if their Imperial patrons' interests and policies change they are expected to fall in with them
Hm. I don't think this has the hallmarks of a "color revolution". Not all the calls by the governed for autoratic governemnt to step down is a "color revolution". In fact, Assad had a good chance to open up in 2006 or so but then he decided not to. Bad move. Now everyone is playing,
.For another time the government and its supporters within the country have resisted the Color Revolution activities of certain foreign powers who will remain nameless this time resulting in prolonged fighting. Of course one reason for this is the overwhelming propaganda of the first 18 months, with endless interviews of the people concerned on Western countries' TV and in their newspapers, so it is hardly surprising they go on being attached to this belief-system. Studies have been done on the "Cults" and their members' behaviour and this appears to be another example, but very very deadly.
Che Guevara was also pretty evil. This is not his fight though.
Assad is a gentleman compared to that murdering bastard of guevara.
Whoever wins, Syria will not become a democracy.
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