Iran is very unlikely to intentionally provoke a conflict with the West and almost certainly would not initiate a first strike on the U.S. or its allies, including Israel, according to the top U.S. military intelligence official.
Lieutenant General Ronald Burgess, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said Thursday that while Iran probably has the ability to “temporarily close the Strait of Hormuz with its naval forces,” as some Iranian officials have threatened to do if attacked or in response to sanctions on its oil exports by the U.S. and European Union, it is not likely they would make such a move.
“Iran has also threatened to launch missiles against the United States and our allies in the region in response to an attack,” Burgess said in testimony at a hearing today of the Senate Armed Services Committee, as if retaliatory military strikes aren’t a given. “However,” he said, “it is unlikely to initiate or intentionally provoke a conflict or launch a preemptive attack.”
It’s true, Iran would never preemptively attack the U.S. or Israel and thereby welcome a destructive and possibly fatal war on their own country from militaries far more superior than theirs. But the truth is, it appears Iran won’t even strike the U.S. or Israel even in retaliation.
While receiving exorbitant economic and military support from the U.S., Israel has financed, trained, and armed Iranian dissident groups to carry out terrorist attacks against Iranian nuclear scientists on Iranian soil. While the U.S. or Israel would consider that a declaration of war, Iran has merely complained about it, still declining to retaliate.
Additionally, Congress has heaped crippling economic sanctions on Iran’s oil and banking sectors, the Obama administration pressured European and Asian allies to embargo Iranian oil imports. Columbia University Professor Gary Sick has called this effort “the equivalent of a blockade. It’s an act of war.” And again, while the U.S. or Israel would consider this an act of war, the only Iranian response has been with rhetoric and not action.
The pretext for this U.S.-Israeli aggression has been the Iranian nuclear program, despite a near-consensus that it has no military dimension to it. Iran is very weak militarily and is on the defensive, while the U.S. and Israel are on the offensive. The fact that U.S. officials have to come out and articulate that Iran won’t attack us is a testament to the effectiveness of the war propaganda against Iran in the U.S. media.
4 thoughts on “Top US Official: Iran Unlikely to Attack the West”
Despite the verity in the General's judgment and statement, it will not stop those bound and determined to wage war on Iran, for Israel's sake. To them, the truth is not relevant.
Wow! Two times in one day I read that Iran is NOT doing what the drum beating morons in the media and chattering class keep harping about.
The fact that Iran hasn't attacked any other country since 1857 kinda gave that one away.
I agree with your assessment that the threat of a nuclear Iran is being highly overblown. There is very little evidence to show that Iran would be a threat to the world if (and this is a big "if") it were to develop nuclear weapons.
Would you mind reading my post at http://ep289309.blogspot.com/2012/02/0-0-1-1958-1…? I would really appreciate your perspective.
The Green Room at Ohio University
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