President Trump’s statements with respect to Hezbollah late last month reflected a substantial lack of understanding. Indeed, that he deferred comment for a day raised some questions over whether he even really knows what Hezbollah is.
Those questions are far from resolved, as the administration continues to send mixed signals, referring to Hezbollah in the same breath as ISIS and al-Qaeda, and endorsing military offensives against ISIS and al-Qaeda along the Lebanon border, despite those being offensives Hezbollah is backing.
Indeed, while the administration presented the Lebanon offensives as a way to sideline Hezbollah, analysts agree that if anything, it greatly deepens Hezbollah’s role within the Lebanese security structure, as they’re the ones going into these fights with all the experience fighting the Islamist factions.
While this is going on, the US is pushing the UN to conduct an investigation into Hezbollah, accusing the group of being a threat to regional stability. Yet while this is presented as being about protecting Israel, the reality is that Hezbollah’s primary focus right now is fighting ISIS, not Israel.
I don’t get this. Yeah, the US wants to get its special forces entrenched in Lebanon, like everywhere else. I get that. But help Hezbollah, who is blamed for blowing up all those marines in Beruit back in the 80’s? Help Hezbollah, the friend of Iran, both of whom Israel hate? How could the US military embark on such a policy without the consent of its handlers in Tel Aviv? So why would Israel want the US to help Hezbollah defeat terrorists like the ones it is backing in its shadow war against Syria? Will someone please explain?
I think that Trump know very well who is who. But he has from the day one of his campaign decided to play the game. Without anti Iranian posture, he would have been booted out of the campaign trail. So, not expecting him to win, he was tolerated more as an entertainment value then actual danger. Well, turned out differently. Neocons pushed their candidate, French playboy Hariri for Prime Minister, and are trying to use him to damage Lebanon. Israel needs a civil war there, and the easiest way would be to get ISIS in. With over 1 mil Syrian refuges, easy task. But head of the Parliament is Hezbollah, and President a Christian former general who supports Hezbollah. Hezbollah saved Lebanon in 2006 invasion by Israel. Trump is pushed to get into such messes. But this does not help with fighting ISIS. Looks like he needs to fire some generals , as they are wasting time and now showing any progress. On the map of battlefield, Assad won more territory from ISIS in last six months then the entire coalition, and its Kurdish forces on the ground. It is not a workable plan, so diversions are needed, hopefully to find excuses to stay longer.
Trump’s anti-ISIS policy is schizophrenic at best:
Trump supports Israel, although Israel continues to support groups affiliated with ISIS while the U.S. and Gulf State once supported (and possibly support now through the Pentagon rather than the CIA) groups affiliated with ISIS. See e.g., https://worldaffairs.blog/2017/05/09/us-and-allies-created-funded-armed-isis/
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/how-america-armed-terrorists-in-syria/
https://www.sott.net/article/349005-Former-Defense-Minister-Moshe-Ya-alon-confirms-Israels-collaboration-with-ISIS-in-Syria
Trump, however, opposes Hezbollah (as a pro-Iranian terrorist organization), although Hezbollah is a leading force in defeating ISIS. See e.g., https://www.sott.net/article/358455-Still-waiting-on-that-U-S-thank-you-note-Hezbollah-and-Syria-cleanse-Lebanon-of-al-Qaeda.
Today, however, Trump’s supported an airstrike on units of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) volunteer militias operating with the blessing of both the Iraqi and Syrian governments in the war against Salafist terrorism. See e.g., http://theduran.com/us-bombs-anti-isis-iraqi-shia-fighters/
As with everything Trump, only time will provide some proof of Trump’s true intentions.