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Israel Passing Messages to Syria’s HTS, But Turkey’s Influence Is a Concern

by Jason Ditz | Dec 18, 2024

Both Israel and Turkey were at the forefront of this month’s regime change in Syria. The takeover of Syria by the Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) alters the landscape of the region, but Turkey and Israel may quickly find themselves at odds over who’s really...

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Israel Continues to Flaunt Ceasefire, Military Demolishes Homes in Southern Lebanon

by Jason Ditz | Dec 17, 2024

Now into the third week of the Israeli ceasefire with Lebanon, the situation seems no more settled than it had been. Israeli forces continue to operate across southern Lebanon, their drones carry out attacks, and Israeli military bulldozers are now conducting...

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Turkey Masses Troops on Syria Border, Large Scale Invasion May Be Imminent

by Jason Ditz | Dec 17, 2024

Though it has reportedly been extended until the end of the week, the failure to make the ceasefire between Turkish-backed forces and the US-backed Kurdish SDF permanent is expected to lead to more fighting. It is starting to look like the fight for northern Syria...

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US Effort to Extend SDF Ceasefire With Turkey in Northern Syria Fails

by Jason Ditz | Dec 16, 2024

Update from 12/17/24: Though the four-day ceasefire expired, the US State Department is now reporting it has been extended until the end of the week. With the four-day ceasefire in the Syrian city of Manbij coming to a close, US mediators’ efforts to convince Turkey...

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After Syria Regime Change, Conflicting Reports on Russia’s Pullout Plans

by Jason Ditz | Dec 16, 2024

While the sudden regime change in Syria affected numerous regional powers, few face as much disruption as Russia. During the Assad era, Russia maintained very important Mediterranean bases in Syria, including Tartus, Russia’s only Mediterranean naval base. With Assad...

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US Assures Syrian Kurdish SDF After Turkish FM Says Goal Is to Wipe Them Out

by Jason Ditz | Dec 15, 2024

It has been a wild 72 hours for the Kurdish-dominated SDF forces in Syria’s northeast. After substantial fighting over the city of Manbij and a 4-day truce conditioned entirely on the SDF removing themselves and their families from the area, the relative stability in...

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Despite Talk of a ‘Nuclear Leap,’ Little About Iran’s Enrichment Program Has Changed

by Jason Ditz | Dec 13, 2024

This week, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) offered it’s latest secret assessment to member states about the status of Iran’s civilian nuclear program, including its enrichment of uranium. As usual, aspects of this assessment were quickly leaked, and...

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Israeli Drone Strike Kills Two in South Lebanon Town of Khiam, Hours After IDF Withdrew

by Jason Ditz | Dec 12, 2024

The southern Lebanese town of Khiam has increasingly become a centerpiece for the struggles with the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire. Just hours after Israeli troops withdrew from Khiam as part of the ceasefire, an Israeli drone has attacked the town square, killing at least...

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Israeli Strikes Kill at Least 5 in Southern Lebanon as Ceasefire Violations Continue

by Jason Ditz | Dec 11, 2024

Israeli ceasefire violations against southern Lebanon continued Wednesday, with airstrikes reported against the towns of Ainata, Bint Jbeil and Beit Lif. The Lebanese Health Ministry reported that at least five people were killed in the strikes and others wounded....

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Israel Attacks Civilian Home in Northern Lebanon as Ceasefire Violations Spread

by Jason Ditz | Dec 10, 2024

In the two weeks since the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire went into effect, Israel has launched an ever growing number of attacks against southern Lebanon. These attacks have killed dozens of people, mostly civilians. Until today, these violations have been almost...

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