IAEA: Iran Lacks Uranium to Make Even One Nuclear Bomb

Iran continues to enrich uranium only to low levels committed to

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) director Rafael Grossi took the opportunity in an interview this weekend to publicly dismiss allegations about Iran nearing breakout capability, saying they don’t have enough enriched uranium to even make a single nuclear bomb.

A lot has been made of “breakout time,” with the Iranian uranium stockpile growing, but Grossi noted Iran is still only enriching at below the 4.5%, low levels they committed to under the nuclear deal. Iran has never attempted to go beyond 20% enrichment, while weaponization would require 90% to 95%.

Grossi said that the IAEA doesn’t look at breakout time, but rather at the quantity of enriched uranium needed for a weapon, reiterating that Iran “does not have this significant quantity at the moment.”

There have been varying estimates on how much uranium one bomb would take in the best-case scenario. They are well short of enough to make a serious push at an arsenal, because even one bomb would need to be detonated to prove functionality.

Author: Jason Ditz

Jason Ditz is Senior Editor for Antiwar.com. He has 20 years of experience in foreign policy research and his work has appeared in The American Conservative, Responsible Statecraft, Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times, and the Detroit Free Press.