The Ukrainian parliament has approved a package of concessions to eastern rebels aimed at ending the ongoing civil war in the nation, declaring a three year “special status” for the eastern oblasts of Donetsk and Luhansk.
The special status would grant the region increased autonomy, amnesty for the rebels, the right to use Russian as an official language, and the right to form local police forces independent of the national government.
The three year window, according to President Poroshenko, is meant to cover the period it will take before changes to the constitution usher in “profound decentralization” of the entire nation, granting similar levels of autonomy to everyone.
Over the weekend, Poroshenko confirmed the rebels released 73 Ukrainian troops as part of the ceasefire deal. Though there are questions about whether the ceasefire would last, there appears to be momentum in favor of it.
The problem has no solution for the moment :
1/ Kiev want to pursue forced ukrainization and consider russian speaking population as lower people.
They close journalists activities which do not suit them.They have forbidden 15 russian TV channels.
2/ Separatists have a lot of civilian killed and do not want anymore to hear about Kiev
3/Yatseniuk has said that Kiev is receiving arms from countries mebers of Nato and will reconquier the separatist region
4/ EEC see only Russia as responsible of the problem.They don't see Kolomoski and other hard liners
5/ Kiev have forbidden the communist party and the party of regions.In October there will be elections of the parlement where a lot of people will not vote.The party of war will win.
Good summary. With such chessboard, East cannot accept the deal. The problem is, game of "finding solution" will have to continue. Kiev has all sorts of legitimacy issue:
1/The paliament has been dismissed because one party (Svoboda) left the coalition, and Rada could not come up within a month with a new one.
2/ On the basis of who knows which constitution — they are picking and choosing versions, or portions they use — the Rada is stil approving all sorts of vital legislations, including ratification of EU Association Agreement. Rada is at BEST supposed to be a technical one before elections.
3/Government is still acting like it has full support, like nothing happened!
4/By banning certain parties — and they are still in Rada — how does anything count as legitimate?
5/Without the banned parties Rada has no quorum. Even though I doubt that it ever had a quorum, as many deputies skipped town when the new "government" came up from the street. Those that did not manage to run away, were physically abused right inside Rada — and forced to vote for whatever new "government" put in front of them. They were threatened with the lives of their families. This situation is still in place.
6/ Voting for new Rada will not make any sense.
It looks like one of the options for East is to not accept anything that is temporary — no matter what the explanation. Since nothing will pass Rada that will grant them anything meaningfull, such deceptions are transparent. They should wait, not disarm, and respond to attacks. They should wait for the results of election, formation of new government, and then decide. If extremists win elections — verly likely Svoboda Party, in coalition with smaller right-wingers — there is no reason to believe that government will be any better — perhaps worse. That would inform them of the way to proceed.
Call me cynical if you like, but I think the East Ukrainians would be fools to disarm. Could you look at the US/NATO/West Ukrainian leaders and honestly say that you see men of honour?
Good. Maybe they got tired of getting their rears kicked. Now put and end to the violence altogether and we can avoid WWIII.
Monopoly on the use of force and violence? — Why?
There is only one reason why the fascist western Ukraine politicians are demanding that the Federalist freedom fighters disarm, their fascist intent is slavery pure and simple. For if their intent was a just government, what difference would it make if eastern Ukraine was armed or disarmed?
Sad fact is, you get respect in this world only if your ready, willing and able to get deadly.
How can anyone in the East trust the Nazis in Kiev? I find it highly improbable that anyone would want to be part of a failed, bankrupt Nazi state that has been killing its own people by shelling and dropping phosphorus bombs on them.
The only realistic solution is either full independence or reunion with Russia. Anything less just won’t work. In any event, the junta in Kiev (unless it gets massive financial support from US/UK/EU) is likely to collapse soon anyway. Even if it does get unlimited financial support, it is virtually certain that almost all the money sent will be stolen by the kleptocrats for their own accounts outside the Ukraine.
I don't think Kiev are in a position to dictate anything. They are proven liars and have broken both ceasefires.They are beholden to Nazi Paramilitaries to do their dirty work. I wouldn't trust anything they say.
No matter how you describe the Kiev government and their political problems, one thing is for sure, people of Ukraine have won, they are the victors in fight against the Neo, old and ok'd fascism ruling what is left of their governing system. Kiev government never had any governing power nor these people ever will, people of eastern Ukraine and people of Ukraine have said and in practical terms have defeated a $5 billion dollars government from US state department.
Oh, Oh! The Neoons are not going to like this!