Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has privately plotted major attacks inside Russia while pledging publicly that his forces won’t use Western-provided arms to target Russian territory, The Washington Post reported on Saturday.
The report cited leaked Pentagon documents that are part of the Discord leaks and said Zelensky has previously suggested attempting to occupy Russian villages, bomb a Russian pipeline to Hungary, and had expressed concern over the lack of long-range weapons that can strike Russian territory.
According to one document, Zelensky suggested during a meeting in January that Ukrainian forces could “conduct strikes in Russia” and move forces into Russian territory to “occupy unspecified Russian border cities.” The idea of the assault would be “to give Kyiv leverage in talks with Moscow.”
Another document, which has previously been reported on, said in February, Zelensky “expressed concern” to Gen. Valery Zaluzhny, Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, that “Ukraine does not have long-range missiles capable of reaching Russian troop deployments in Russia nor anything with which to attack them.”
Zelensky’s most provocative suggestion came during a meeting with Deputy Prime Minister Yuliya Svrydenko in February, where he proposed “blowing up” the Druzhba pipeline, which provides oil to Hungary, a NATO member. The document says that Zelensky “highlighted that … Ukraine should just blow up the pipeline and destroy likely Hungarian [Prime Minister] Viktor Orban’s industry, which is based heavily on Russian oil.”
The document suggested Zelensky was “expressing rage toward Hungary and therefore could be making hyperbolic, meaningless threats.” But either way, the revelation is sure to raise tensions between Kyiv and Budapest. Both US and Ukrainian officials have been enraged with Hungary over its calls for a ceasefire and efforts to ease EU sanctions on Russia. Hungary and other landlocked former European nations that rely on pipelines were given exemptions from the EU’s Russian oil ban.
The revelations came after the UK started delivering Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine, which have a range of about 250 kilometers (155 miles), significantly farther than the munitions the US has provided Kyiv. The US welcomed the British move and, despite the Discord leaks, isn’t concerned about potential escalation.
“Ukraine has repeatedly committed to employ US-provided weapons responsibly and strategically when needed to counter Russian aggression, and we are confident that will continue to be the case,” a Pentagon official told the Post.
Zelensky called the contents of the leaks “fantasies” and insisted he won’t use long-range weapons to hit targets inside Russia. He made similar comments on Sunday, saying Ukraine’s long-awaited counteroffensive will not aim to attack Russian territory.
Zelensky should remember: if you play with matches, you are going to get burned…
Donna, the guy is an addict, you can’t take him seriously. The man remembers nothing, no more than our demented president. Then there are all the demented neocons like Nuland, Sullivan and Blinken and more and all of them make no sense. The whole USA/NATO leadership is surreal. We are in deep trouble with people like that, they are not just mediocre they are nuts and should be in asylums for the protection of the nation and really the whole globe.
“ Donna, the guy is an addict”
Do you have any proof to support this claim or are you just repeating kremlin propaganda?
Yes, I remember the fake photos and videos the kremlin released of Zelensky doing drugs.
How Dishonest.
Perhaps as a Russian military warehouse manager of keeping inventory of their munition, maybe you can release the roster next time instead of making blanket statement.
Perhaps you should stick to your one off comments and or block me.
I will do that after I get tired of insulting you with your misinformed and idiotic comments.
The guy comes from their entertainment industry.
Are you actually postulating the Ukrainian entertainment industry does not party just like they do every where else?
The dude isn’t as bad as Hunter but he’s still likes his rails.
Judge him by his actions, not what the Kremlin released or the WH says. Just look at the guy and what he has accomplished. All he does is to go around in an olive green t-shirt with his right hand under his left armpit,( how corny) demanding more money and weapons while Ukraine is being annihilated. Biden is just running around bullying other nations to sanction Russia and fund the war and do as told. What a way to make friends.
Biden and Zelensky, dance partners at the Wrecking Ball.
Of course you Zelenski suck up, you wouldn’t believe anything negative about your boy.
There’s little doubt they are planning strikes inside Russia, the shipments of MIGs & Storm Shadows is the giveaway. How it got into the WP is maybe the story.
Nuland/Biden and others are determined to get their war with Russia before the election next year.
Problem is Biden’s mental health condition, it is getting worse and the GOP started to pay attention publicly.
Yes and yes, but there’s got to be others in attendance at those NSC sessions opposing the War Party … at least on the pt of direct Big Power kinetic war.
In a real effective democracy that would be the case, it should be. Our Democracy is a money based political form of government. Democracy sounds good, but it does not work very well, money always wins out.
The MIC and the corporate elite in general controls the neocons like the Biden/Nuland team. Trump was difficult for these neocons one could think. Biden is a good replacement and maybe Nuland could replace Biden, Harris is just not as well suited than Nuland.
Just bouncing ideas around, so much can happen in 2024.
Just because he’s afraid of “the always present danger that his cocaine might run out” (to paraphrase that great philosopher Elvin Bishop) doesn’t make him an “addict” but rather a “rock” star (just like Hunter).
He knows that, unfortunately, his country has been invaded. He is not playing with matches, he is one of the matches.
Did You really post that?
Let me ask you, who paid for the matches?
“He made similar comments on Sunday, saying Ukraine’s long-awaited counteroffensive will not aim to attack Russian territory.”
Zelensky has already used long-range weapons to attack Russian territory. A fuel depot was attacked last week on the Russian side of the Kerch Strait.
He is planning to bomb the pipeline from Russia to Hungary and expect Hungarians to help him. It would be fair if Putin, when the war is over, gives Transcarpathian oblast to Hungary as a compensation for the damage done to Hungarian people by Kiev regime.
Aside from being an indecent piano player, Z is headed for the same fate that Diem did in 1963, assassination by a coup of generals that had had quite enough of his antics. Hopefully whatever will emerge after him will be willing to negotiate in good faith and end this debacle. The wild card in this of course is Victoria “f-ck the EU” Nuland and the Samson Option.
Zelenski will be done in, not by his generals but by his grunts and NCOs who have just about enough of being fed into a meat grinder.
He’s either going to be dead within 2 years or doing cameos in crappy Hollyweird movies in-between coke binges.
He sits between Nuland/Biden and the neo-Nazis, there is no way out for him, much like Diem as you put it. Maybe his spouse can enjoy the wealth he accumulated.
does Z actually play the piano ?
oh here he is playing the piano with his other hand =
WTF does anyone expect from the dancer comedian…??? sound war planning and execution… ????? What we get is a joke…. On US…!!!!!!!
I expect a lot. That comedian is slowly destroying the second largest ground force in the world along with its economy.
Again with your assumptions? Your skills to demoralize is best used on Russian media chat rooms instead of on antiwar.com.Putin isn’t reading your comments here.
I think i have a much better record than yours with my assumptions.
I did not know you can be funny.
if you look him up in the dictionary it will immediately say “funny”
OMG the internet is hilarious.
i am laughing at him and you simultaneously.
wait, what ?
edit) = when i was in high-school my little sister’s friend was named Renate. i tried my damndest to get in her pants but i failed every time.
He and Zelensky performed at the same comedy club.
He and Zelensky performed at the same comedy club.
I laugh at our Donny all the time; he can be quite funny even when he’s trying to be serious.
Actually he means well; give him a break ….lol.
He means well..??? Give us a friggin break!
I used to work with the mentally ill and those with intellectual disabilities.
They and Donnie are so similar that I just assume he means well just as those ‘special’ folks do.
What could be funier than a guy with three personas in a chat, one of which is a talking alpaca that always agrees with him…..?????
That’s not nearly as funny as idiots twisting themselves into pretzels to convince themselves that it’s one guy with three personas.
I haven’t seen you right on much of anything.
Few take him all that seriously but he is entertaining so at least we are reading his comments.
Based on orders and funding from Washington.
So you believe this leak but the other ones describing a relatively fully intact military with little degration are not true?
Back alleys here in Detroit are chocked with sleeping Ukrainian deserters every night..!!!! What I believe is that Russia is doing a very good job of killing off Ukie troops and morale.
The comedian is doing his part by fighting all these months for a city that just fell.
That city had to be akin to Ukrainian troops as was the “Eastern front” was to German soldiers in WW2.
If you were ordered there you assumed you would die there.
That could not have been a great moral booster and now after all the dead Ukrainian troops it fell anyway.
I bet they can’t wait for the next futile battle.
Another comedy routine from the peanut gallery.
S…l…o….w….l….y……seems to be the operative word here Donny.
It’s so slow that a 4 star General just shared Russia’s military is still not degraded to any great degree.
You certainly can’t believe Ukraine has years left in them to fight?
That appears to be Senator Linda Graham’s plan, years of war to screw with Russia but you can’t be as crazy as Graham…I hope.
“You certainly can’t believe Ukraine has years left in them to fight?”
If Russian forces are still in Kherson and Zaporizhia oblasts 20 years from now, Ukrainian forces will still be fighting them.
But it’s unlikely that Russian forces will still be in Kherson and Zaporizhia oblasts 20 years from now, or even two years from now, both because the Russian political leadership isn’t as stupid as, nor are the Russian armed forces as capable of keeping themselves supplied as, their US equivalents were in e.g. Afghanistan.
Sure there will be goings on similar to the Chechnya area that took a few years to tamp down. Maybe Ukraine will be similar but that quasi civil war could be turning into smaller version of India and Pakastan’s kerfuffle over Kashmir that never seems it will end ( or it will, it is messy)
Plus Ukraine is not known for following agreements or are unable to control militias might be a better way to say it.
But this latest upcoming need in the Summer shows the Spring offensive isn’t going to be the gamechanger it needs and that presents an opportunity for even more peeling off of support for continued fighting and some negotiations.
Well, that’s the thing: Ukraine doesn’t need a “gamechanger.” Unless the Russian forces suddenly start getting a lot better at warfare than they’ve shown themselves to be so far, it will remain all downhill for Russia as it has been since last spring. All the Ukrainians have to do is continue preventing the Russians from doing what the Russians have been failing to do for 14 months now.
You are assuming that Ukraine will be able to maintain the level of fighting they are conducting right now.
We just announced a arms package that now is being said to be used up in midsummer and we are starting to prepare to ramp up manufacturing because our stores are getting depleted.
Russia on the otherhand is not seeing a huge degradtion of their military (per that clip Napolitano is playing to death) and those sanctions are not causing the shortages we were told they would.
Remember that $60 price point Russia had to accept for their oil per the G7? They are getting $70…lol.
Ukraine must push Russia out but Russia can just sit and dig in with even more fortifications and wait.
Who is in the better position? Those who can just dig in or the side wholly depenent on a tenous coalition of nations to continue their support?
“You are assuming that Ukraine will be able to maintain the level of fighting they are conducting right now.”
No necessarily. I’m just assuming that Ukraine will be able to continue out-matching the Russian level of fighting.
Before the Russians can “just sit and dig in with even more fortifications and wait,” they have to secure the area they’re trying to defend with those fortifications. They’ve been trying unsuccessfully to secure Donetsk for 15 months; hell, they’ve been trying to secure one fucking town in Donetsk, Bakhmut, for nine months.
And with a tiny fraction of the military production capacity of their opponents, their situation isn’t going to be getting any better than it has been. So either they sprout some previously unseen talent at fighting, or they continue floundering until Putin figures out a way to declare “victory” and get them out of there.
So you are seeing a stalemate as I do. No one is advancing in any real regard nor are the Ukrainians pushing them out of there.
So who has the time?
The ones who are maintaining their force themselves with a little help from their friends or the party wholly dependant on friends like us?
Nothing remains static and the trend is now leaning towards China talking to France and Germany about talks commencing not the Ukrainians convincing everyone for a huge uptick in support to be forthcoming quickly to change things on the ground.
“So who has the time? The ones who are maintaining their force themselves with a little help from their friends or the party wholly dependant on friends like us?”
The first side you mention does not, so far as I can tell, exist.
So Russia’s industrial capacity does not exist to you.
Their tank production is 20 a month; how many do the Ukrainians produce in their tank factories?
How many jets do those factories produce?
Drone manufacturing; how’s that Ukrainian industry doing?
The Russian industrial complex does exist, it’s Urkraine that does not have one.
“So Russia’s industrial capacity does not exist to you.”
Oh, it certainly exists. Not just to me, but in reality.
According to satellite pollution data, it’s about 6% smaller now than it was a year ago (the regime stats say only 2.2% smaller).
“Their tank production is 20 a month”
Maybe. Maybe not. Whatever their tank production might be, it doesn’t seem to be keeping up with consumption, or we wouldn’t be seeing them pulling T-55s out of mothballs to make up the deficit.
“how many do the Ukrainians produce in their tank factories.”
Unlike you with Russian production, I don’t pretend to know how many tanks the Ukrainians are producing.
“The Russian industrial complex does exist, it’s Urkraine that does not have one.”
It has several. One in the US. One in the UK. One in Germany. And others. Almost all of them larger than Russia’s.
Are you postulating the wavering support we are starting to see won’t matter and despite France and Germany’s increasing recalcitrantrance in regards to never ending weapons it won’t hamper a thing?
We will keep sending them arms forever….sure…that’s going to happen.
All this new talk about Ukrainian really needing to accomplish something like a really successful offensive is just silliness and we will keep shipping arms no matter what. Even Trump will keep the war going.
That seems to be where you are going with this; Russia’s industrial capacity doesn’t matter because we will never ever stop sending Ukraine arms.
That I disagree with. Time favors Russia not Ukraine.
“That seems to be where you are going with this; Russia’s industrial capacity doesn’t matter because we will never ever stop sending Ukraine arms.”
On the contrary — Russia’s industrial capacity is the MAIN thing that matters. It’s a tiny fraction of their adversaries’ industrial capacity. Which means that even if the entirety of Russian industrial capacity was put entirely and only to war purposes, their adversaries would could outmatch them with far less stress/privation on their own economies.
Industrial capacity and the attendant logistics win long wars. The Russians had a window of a few weeks to gain a quick military victory before industrial capacity and logistics became the determining factors. Once that window closed (about a year ago), the outcome was set with about 95% certainty and the question became “how many more people die before the Russians fuck off and go home?”
So you are the mind that Ukraine has all the time in the world but Russia doesn’t?
Honestly it appears you are arguing for argument’s sake.
Even this site has a new story that the sanctions are not impacting Russia as the West believed they would but you sure seem to be arguing the opposite.
It took me a little while to figure out that when you say “you sure seem to be arguing the opposite,” that translates to English as “you sure seem to be arguing something I’ve concocted for you to be arguing rather than what you’re arguing.”
In point of fact, I’ve been pointing out from the beginning that the effects of western sanctions would be neither as damaging to Russia as the sanctioners wanted to believe, nor a one-way street (they’ve damaged the sanctioners as well).
None of which has anything to do with the fact that Russia doesn’t even have one of the top ten industrial bases in the world, and at least six of its adversaries ARE on that top ten list. Including the US, with an industrial base all by itself several times as large as Russia’s.
The countries supplying Ukraine can do so indefinitely with a tiny fraction of their production capacities, at the same level or a higher level than Russia could supply itself if it devoted the entirety of its production capacity to nothing but the war.
The only way — if there was a way at all — for the Russians to achieve their initially announced objective of regime change to make Ukraine a Russian imperial satrapy again (“de-militarization and de-Nazification”) was a quick victorious maneuver warfare campaign.
Once that failed and it became a production/logistics war against US/EU/NATO instead of just a quick expedition against Ukraine alone, the best outcome the Russians could hope for was a return to frozen conflict with them in full control of LPR/DPR (and even that they’ve been trying and failing to achieve for 15 months now). And the only variable to that outcome is how many bodies the two sides stack up before it gets to that outcome.
So you believe the wests support is never ending while Russia can’t support this war indefinately because you somehow believe despite all the evidence to the contrary Russia’s manufacturing capacity can’t support this war indefinately?
That is complete nonsence, I too can do snark.
You seem to believe the West’s support is never ending (ignoring what Hungary did just yesterday I see) and Russia isn’t able to turn towards other means of running their manufacturing base. Perhaps you need to peruse Antiwars featured story about sanctions futility and use the points contained within to undertake a little research to more fully explore those topics?(
Naw…you know more than everyone, even those who write for this place…you are an expert…
Told you I can do snark…
Again with the “so you believe something you didn’t say but that it would be mighty convenient to my poor substitution for actual arguments for you have said?”
Feel free to present any evidence that Russia has a super-secret hidden industrial base that nobody’s ever noticed before, many times the size of the one they’ve pretended to have for decades.
What I have actually SAID is that the west’s support for the Ukrainian war effort is cheap and doable long-term as a fraction of their industrial bases, while Russia’s support for its own war effort is unsustainable long-term because even coming close to parity with Ukraine’s support demands a very large fraction of its industrial base.
As for Antiwar’s stories on sanctions futility, I’ve not only read them, I’ve written some of them.
So you admit that Russia’s manufacturing base has not been damaged but somehow it is about to collapse?
Just how are you proposing Russian manufacturing will be unable to withstain their output, of which is increasing not decreasing.
That is a nice sign in regards to sustaining output of course but you claim this abilty won’t last.
OK…
Please share what you forsee in this inevitible collapse.
You made the claim their output will collapse so please share how you forsee it happening.
Your tidbit about them being the 10th largest is a non sequitur (output is all that matters) but if you want to throw that out as if it matters, feel free.
“So you admit that Russia’s manufacturing base has not been damaged but somehow it is about to collapse?”
I neither “admitted,” nor claimed, nor offered any plausible statement that could be interpreted as “admitting” or claiming either of those things.
“Just how are you proposing Russian manufacturing will be unable to withstain their output, of which is increasing not decreasing.”
According to whom? According to the Russian regime, over the last year it’s decreased by 2.5%. If satellite pollution data is any indication, the actual decrease was 6.x%.
“You made the claim their output will collapse”
Ah, now we’re to the “if I repeat a lie enough times, it will magically become the true” stage of “how to win an argument by arguing with something other than what the other party said.”
“Your tidbit about them being the 10th largest is a non sequitur (output is all that matters)”
Yes, output is all that matters. The size referred to is output. But no, they’re not the tenth largest, nor did I say they were. I pointed out that they’re NOT in the top 10.
IMF disputes your numbers.
Many others dispute those snapshots in time based on guesses.
I honestly have no idea where you are going with this.
You have a really hard time expressing yourself while throwing out numbers such as you just shared…again.
Are you proposing the Russians collapse before the Ukranians?
If so how does that occur? Can you manage that? You made the claim and I’m trying my hardest to understand where you get that from. It appears to be a wild guess based on nothing given just how hard it is for you to articulate it in a few sparce sentences.
“Are you proposing the Russians collapse before the Ukranians?”
I’m not proposing the Russians collapse at all.
I’m proposing that the Russians are far more likely to get tired of trying to break a stalemate they got themselves into, that they have very little chance of breaking, and that relatively speaking is very expensive to them, than the Ukrainians and their sponsors are to give up on maintaining a stalemate that they can support at a far less relatively punishing cost.
There are two ways to win wars. One is with a very quick military victory. The other is with a long logistics/supply grind. When the Russian forces blew their attempt at winning the first way, they found themselves up against forces better equipped than themselves to win the second way.
You still are not clear.
How does Ukraine win?
You are now speaking of logistics which comes back to the ability to supply.
Where does you logistics come in?
Manufacturing is not a problem.
Getting it there?
Surely you aren’t reading too much into that fake general’s claims of ammo shortages?
So how is the collapse going to occur?
Logistics? Really? They’ll have the goods but they just cant get them there?
So tell me how this collapse of logistics is going to occur.
Can you manage that?
You really seem to be ready to dispute me but extremely recalcitrant to share how this ends other than some postulations about it will.
You have finally shared a small bit of how you guess this collapse will occur so tell me how they will be unable to get what they need to sustain themselves.
“Logistics”does not cut it.
“How does Ukraine win?”
I have no idea. For an answer to that question, you’ll have to ask someone who believes or has claimed that Ukraine will win. That’s not me.
“So how is the collapse going to occur?”
Again — ask someone who has predicted a collapse and maybe they can tell you.
So you just pop in to tell people like me they are wrong but you can not even articulate a alternative senerio?
I should have known that is what you are about.
What a joke you are….
1. I didn’t “pop in.” I’m here on about an hourly basis, about 16 hours a day, seven days a week.
2. I didn’t tell you you are wrong. I expressed an opinion on a question you posed.
3. I “articulated” the same “scenario” I’ve been “articulating” since last May, after the Russian forces failed to achieve a quick military victory and it became a production/logistics contest.
4. And then, as usual, you got all butt-hurt and whiny.
5. Which brings us to the part where you stomp your foot, pretend that the comments here are your property, and demand to be “left alone” by someone you were always completely free to ignore in the first place.
Right now it isn’t an issue with the Russians so one must assume you see some means for the Urkrainians to acquire means to disrupt them.
Just how does that work as we hear more and more quibbling in regards to future arms shipments by such folks as France and Germany?
They’ll need much better capacity to beat the army of work release convicts to disrupt the supply lines and that’s not happening is it?
I wonder what happens once the real troops arrive and take over from the fake General?
What happens if Biden loses? Or even if it becomes apparent the war is a drag for his reelection?
I see you like to drop the terms but let’s see how you propose the Ukranians accomplish you guess.
Come on, you like to drop pronouncements as if we must just accept them but let’s hear how those Ukranians do it in the next year (some say they have barely 5 to 6 month’s left).
Also let’s hear how you propose that production drop is going to occur. Sanctions are not going to do that so let us all hear your wild guesses on the supply aspect.
Whats the matter, you don’t like pushback?
You are so funny and predictible.
“I wonder what happens once the real troops arrive and take over from the fake General?”
That’s an interesting question — will it go back to the fiasco that it was before the fake General took over from the real troops, or will the real troops have improved?
“let’s see how you propose the Ukranians accomplish you guess.”
The same way it’s been accomplishing it for the last 13 months.
“Come on, you like to drop pronouncements as if we must just accept them”
Bullshit. I express opinions just like anyone else. And you’re free to accept them, not accept them, or even ignore them.
“let’s hear how those Ukranians do it in the next year (some say they have barely 5 to 6 month’s left).”
Fifteen months ago, most people assumed they had barely five to six days left. Then a not-quite-as-large group announced that they had five to six weeks left. Then for the last year, a somewhat smaller group has continued announcing that they have five to six months left.
“Whats the matter, you don’t like pushback?”
I love pushback. Why do you ask?
So you are just offering opinions.
Guesses one might say.
So when you make your declarations they have no weight other than what you believe?
Perhaps you ought to leave your hubris behind when you pop into a thread and declare with such certainty what are just pure guesses on your part?
What’s the matter with my not taking you seriously? You push back on my views this war favors the party with actual manufaturing capacity but you then start babbling about how future logistics and supply issues that will cause Russia to slink home, that are not occurring today, but will soon you promise, I’m not going to take you seriously.
You make ridiculous observations and get so upset when people mock you for them but just love to dish it out.
You are a joke.
“So you are just offering opinions.”
Well, no shit, Sherlock. This is a comment section, not a technical manual repository. Offering opinions is what it’s for.
There’s absolutely nothing wrong with you not taking me seriously. That’s entirely up to you, as it should be. Hell, you’re even free to flatter yourself that you’re capable of making me “upset.”
“So you are just offering opinions.”
Well, no shit, Sherlock. This is a comment section, not a technical manual repository. Offering opinions is what it’s for.
There’s absolutely nothing wrong with you not taking me seriously. That’s entirely up to you, as it should be. Hell, you’re even free to flatter yourself that you’re capable of making me “upset.”
I through taking you seriously.
As if you ever started taking anything seriously.
Certainly not you.
I’ve read your columns; quite wanting and almost like a gift to the moderator in leu of pay perhaps?
Yes, because I’m a moderator at e.g. USA Today, Dallas Morning News, the Orange Country Register, the Des Moines Register, JoongAng Ilbo, the Tehran Times, the South China Morning Post, the Batesville Panolian, the Palm Beach Post, etc.
Oooooo you’ve found a career moderating comment sections for Gannett and similar chains. I knew you were a joke.
Do they let you write column as well in leu of pay like here?
Not the brightest bulb in the chandelier, are you?
Says the factory worker who pretends he’s a writer.
I’ve never been published but I’ve written reports dailly that enabled folks to get services and maintain them. I’ve also kept many people out of prison with the reports I wrote for the State’s treatment program that judges used to make desisions. Add that to my degrees. Plural you notice.Whereas you are a self taught guy (you read some books and can understand the charts that I not only can construct but can perform the math to get the information that one uses to construct what you look at and try to understand; can you do rudimentry game theory and build a chart with the result? Did not think so)
All you do moderate comment sections and annoys those who offer their opinions on sites you work at.
Get a degree or two like I have a reputable 4year college and I’ll take you seriously.
I haven’t been a factory worker for about 23 years now.
I’ve been a full-time writer/editor/publisher for about 23 years now. At present, my op-eds are published in newspapers in the US and globally about 1,500 times per year.
Glad to hear you can do math. That’s never really been my thing, although I did have to teach myself trigonometry to re-invent the 81mm mortar “whiz-wheel” plotter on a programmable calculator back in the 1990s (I had just taken over as Fire Direction Center chief and found that our “whiz wheels” were Vietnam-era and starting to get so warped that they weren’t very accurate; but our unit didn’t have money in its budget to get the new Mortar Ballistic Computer, so I just invented one).
Why would I give a tinker’s damn whether you “take me seriously” or not? This is a comment section. I comment. You comment. Your commenting seems to be mostly whining about me, but hey, if that’s what floats your boat, go for it.
I can’t believe people publish you but there are suckers everywhere. Your scholarship sucks to coin a phrase.
Please share how you are guessing how the Russians will collapse before the Ukranians.
I proffered the obvious means and unfortunately believed you saw that as the obvious and traditional means of collapse too but you know better….sure….
So we have militarially or politically as the means. Please share your wild guesses on those of which ever one you are basing your wild guessing about.
Or is there someother means you are making your claims based upon?
You want to portray yourself as an expert so let’s hear a clear articulation of this collapse you are so sure about.
That I’m yet to read, just your objections to what I propose with nothing to counter.
“Please share how you are guessing how the Russians will collapse before the Ukranians.”
Sure — if I ever guess that either side is going to collapse, let alone before the other, I’ll be sure to share that.
“You want to portray yourself as an expert”
In your imagination, perhaps. In reality, feel free to find so much as a single instance of me ever referring to myself as an expert.
So you are once again unwilling to fully share how Russia collapes and gives this up other than they will somehow.
Sure whatever.
Yes I agree, you are far from an expert just someone who likes to tell others they are wrong but just can’t manage to share why other than nonsence like logistics and the West will keep their stuff flowing without managing to articulate anything much else or even why you guess it will occur.
Correct. I won’t share how something that I’ve not predicted will happen, will happen. Similarly, I won’t share why I’m a stamp collector, since I’m not, or why I expect the Arizona Cardinals to win the 2024 Super Bowl, since I don’t.
What I will do is acknowledge your expertise on “telling others they are wrong” while spouting nonsense. You’ve certainly got me there; your credentials are unassailable.
Neither side will collapse; yup you ain’t no expert.
“That seems to be where you are going with this; Russia’s industrial capacity doesn’t matter because we will never ever stop sending Ukraine arms.”
On the contrary — Russia’s industrial capacity is the MAIN thing that matters. It’s a tiny fraction of their adversaries’ industrial capacity. Which means that even if the entirety of Russian industrial capacity was put entirely and only to war purposes, their adversaries would could outmatch them with far less stress/privation on their own economies.
Industrial capacity and the attendant logistics win long wars. The Russians had a window of a few weeks to gain a quick military victory before industrial capacity and logistics became the determining factors. Once that window closed (about a year ago), the outcome was set with about 95% certainty and the question became “how many more people die before the Russians fuck off and go home?”
“That seems to be where you are going with this; Russia’s industrial capacity doesn’t matter because we will never ever stop sending Ukraine arms.”
On the contrary — Russia’s industrial capacity is the MAIN thing that matters. It’s a tiny fraction of their adversaries’ industrial capacity. Which means that even if the entirety of Russian industrial capacity was put entirely and only to war purposes, their adversaries would could outmatch them with far less stress/privation on their own economies.
Industrial capacity and the attendant logistics win long wars. The Russians had a window of a few weeks to gain a quick military victory before industrial capacity and logistics became the determining factors. Once that window closed (about a year ago), the outcome was set with about 95% certainty and the question became “how many more people die before the Russians fuck off and go home?”
Those tank numbers are prewar and are readily available if you care to research instead of assuming I pulled it out of my ass.
Today’s production is using Chinese bearings instead of west German ones which by the way which does impact things like range (once again readily available on the web about sanction impacts) but the question is if on a war-footing are they ramping up production or are maintaining the 20 tank level?
I’d imagine they at the very least maintaining production levels while updating that old stock to get them into battle.
Try researching before assuming…lol.
unless they are all dead or deserters
I can agree with Don Julio on this point…. ‘That comedian is slowly destroying the second largest ground force in the world along with its economy” I don’t necessarily think that Ukraine has the second largest ground force in the world, but with the rest I agree. A very rare occurrence.. Mostly I am 180 degrees in the opposite position to his analysis and thinking. I wish “Z” all the good luck in the heavens “destroying his army and the economy.” His leader-shit is the best hope for a swift conclusion to the Nuland, Clinton and Piatt neocon plan to weaken & dismember Russia to accomplish their “Full Spectrum dominance” delusion. I just hope they don’t our planet trying.
Sunak is not much better. After the massive explosion in west Ukrainian town Khmelnitsky, the radiation level in the region went up sharply. Obviously, those fools stocked there British depleted uranium shells. Instead of East Ukraine, they contaminated West Ukraine.
It would take something other than depleted uranium to make the radiation level go up “sharply.” The stuff is less radioactive than natural uranium. You ingest the equivalent radioactivity of a gram of depleted uranium every month or so from natural sources.
It only means they collected there quite a lot of those shells. Now Kiev regime and it’s sponsors are trying to silence this disaster.
Google “gamma radiation spikes in Ukraine”.
I didn’t say there weren’t “gamma radiation spikes in Ukraine.”
I simply pointed out that depleted uranium ammunition would not explain such spikes.
Of course Anglo-Saxons would deny it. However Russian, Greek and Indian experts think the gamma radiation spike was coursed by a massive explosion of depleted uranium ammunition.
If gamma levels spiked noticeably, it was something a lot worse than depleted uranium. Reactor grade uranium, medical isotopes, or even weapons-grade stuff. Depleted uranium isn’t radioactive enough to cause what you’re saying happened. In fact, one of its main uses is in radiation shields.
I gave you the link to an article in New Delhi. Just read it and enlighten yourself.
Did you ever heard about the consequences of the use of depleted uranium weapons in Serbia and Iraq?
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a118098db2b4d59ed8e92e956c3d24f10a05cbb91ab44787def861c3343557c0.png
Uranium ions are toxic-it is their chemistry.Radiation is a separate matter.
Depleted uranium is both a toxic chemical and radiation health hazard when inside the body. This massive explosion of radioactive ammunition produced an enormous amount of radioactive dust which contaminated huge territories.
Ick. What you are implying is much worse than if it was depleted uranium.
I’m not “implying” anything. If there were large gamma spikes, they came from actually radioactive stuff, not minimally radioactive DU.
I’d be more worried about the Ukrainians trying to push the Russians out of that reactor than depleted uranium shells.
But that’s just me.
I’m sure the Ukrainians will be careful and I’m needlessly worrying….
There is a nice article in www newindian.in about that. They say at the time of the explosion, the wind was from southeast to northwest, direct from West Ukraine to Germany. So, all radioactive rubbish went from Ukraine to NATO countries.
The mention of “radiation” is a good scare tool as well as a great marketing tool.
Just ask those guys who will lower your basement “Radon” levels for just a few thousand dollars.
He’s just butthurt
Zelensky Privately Plotted Bold Attacks on Russian Territory
really, is he actually smart enough to boldly plot an attack?
because here he is playing a piano with his penis
OMG you cannot make this sh*t up =
Ukraine wants help to do to Hungary what that help already did to Germany — blow up a massive pipeline.
Yeah, we know who did that, and we know they might do it again. They won’t stop on their own, they must be stopped.
“Zelensky Privately Plotted Bold Attacks on Russian Territory Ukrainian officials insist they won’t use Western-provided arms to hit Russian territory but leaks suggest otherwise”
Zelensky is truly insane as most Ukrainians are. They are playing in the deep end without knowing how to swim on their own.
‘Won’t use Western arms to attack Russia…” Pray, then, what ELSE is he planning on using? The 404 military is supplied by the West- including being provided with former Soviet equipment by Western nations! Since 404 has no arms industry to speak of, attacking Russia with home-grown weapons is ludicrous.
Isn’t it amazing that the Washington Post keeps coming up with these stories that no one else has about these leaks?
Nary a word until now but somehow the WaPo keeps sharing this stuff like they are being fed it by someone….nah….crazy talk.
Add that to their new campaign of cafe bombings and we have a terrorist nation (Western definition that we love to assign to similar acts by so-called “rogue” counties) that is lashing out as it flounders in a war.
Two problems with that:
1) it is not proven that it was the Ukrainians who bombed the café
2) I’m less than certain that such a bombing would be classified as terrorism if the two countries involved are already at war.
Not proven?
Sure it was a false flag and the guy did it to himself….
I’m not claiming that it was a false flag, but the Russians have a girl in custody, they should be able to prove the connection to Ukraine if there is one – for all we know it might have been his Russian enemies who killed him – until you have proof the idea that you can condemn someone or even a whole country is just not how we work the legal systems.
It’s been proved well enough that the Ukrainian press is boasting about it as theirs.
I may claim to have a dog that bites, but not actually have a dog let alone one that bites, that some papers may celebrate the action and even try to claim it as a Ukrainian revenge does not amount to proof though.
Btw do you have the links to those stories?
It was well reported at the time.
I’m sure an intrepid Google search will yield results for you.
But why bother?
You won’t believe them.
Why indeed – you claim they did, but cannot find a link so you try to get me to do your research.
But by all means don’t bother as I pointed out without even the Russians finding a direct link and the Ukrainians not taking credit, I would not consider it proof even if you did manage to dig up an article from a fringe publication claiming it was the Ukrainians.
So anything will be deemed by you as fringe yet you want me to bother to search for you?
You are funny…
No any national paper will not be deemed fringe nor will any paper with a decent circulation.
And no I do not want you to do my search for me, I want you to document your claim as I’m prepared to do mine – as you make a positive assertion ‘There are stories in the Ukrainian press where they claim to be behind it‘ then your google should help you to provide links!
I’m saying that I do not believe that there are any such links, there maybe, but google did not provide me any links – as absence of proof is not proof of absence you have to be able to prove your claim.