At 9:00 PM EST, Tuesday, the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire officially took effect, potentially ending an ongoing Israeli invasion and repeated airstrikes which have killed thousands and displaced well over a million Lebanese civilians.
The deal was brokered by the US, and the Israeli security cabinet voted earlier today to support it. The deal proscribes a 60-day ceasefire in which Hezbollah is to move its armed assets north of the Litani River, and the Lebanese government is to deploy its army into the southern area of the country as a buffer between Israel and Hezbollah.
Israel, for its part, is to withdraw their ground troops from southern Lebanon, and to stop attacking Lebanese territory. If Israel sees “suspicious movements,” US officials say they are to report it to a US-led committee, which would forward the complaint to the Lebanese military. It is only after that point that Israel would be free to respond if Lebanon doesn’t act.
The immediate question must be how the ceasefire will be implemented, and when the Israeli troops will actually leave. Israeli military Avichay Adraee issued a statement after the ceasefire went into effect warning Lebanese civilians against attempting to return to their homes in the evacuation zones, saying the prohibition is still in effect. He said Israel would inform them at a later date when it is safe to return.
This doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence in the ceasefire, and the continued Israeli attacks in the final hours before it came into effect added to concerns. In those last hours, Israel carried out multiple attacks on the north Lebanon border crossings into Syria, and imposed new evacuation orders on multiple southern suburbs of Beirut.
The attacks on the border crossings are noteworthy, because Israel has repeatedly attacked the main crossings through eastern Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley leading into Qusayr throughout the war. This makes some sense, as the Bekaa Valley is a known Hezbollah haven. The northern crossings, on the other hand, lead into Syria’s coastal Tartus Province. Syrian state media reported a number of people were wounded in these attacks.
The attacks on southern Beirut seem to be Israel’s final action before the ceasefire went into effect. Israel issued evacuation orders on southern and central Beirut just two hours before the 9:00 PM ceasefire, and attacks began less than an hour before that deadline.
This all sounds very fishy. Without an agreement on Gaza, there can be no "ceasefire". I notice here Gaza is not being mentioned, and so…. Sounds like some sort of fancy PR ploy on US/Israel's part to me. I surmise time will tell.
I agree… If Israel keep bombing Gaza, Hezbollah cannot sit dormant for long…!
Quid pro quo!
Yes Hezbollah can sit dormant. Hezbollah will do what is in their best interests. Tell me how Hezbollah benefit from the last war they started on Oct 8? Their leadership is all dead, much of their rockets were destroy or used up. Thousands of their fighters are dead. And another 1000 or so of their members will never walk normally again because of a the "cheap" cell phones they used.
You make claims you cannot back up with facts.
Absolutely. What does Hizbollah say anyhow? Just because Biden and Netanyahu proclaim something, it doesn't mean it's real (they are such compulsive liars that is almost certainly the opposite of truth).
Your lack of history of the region is showing. When the 1948 war ended, Israel made cease fire agreements at different times with different Arab governments. With one minor exception for a few months, those agreements held for 69 years. So there can be a cease fire agreement with individual parties.
Note- this is a unilateral ceasefire declaration. The Likud is wisely sueing for peace.
Nothing yet from the other side. Hence, it’s a unilateral capitulation
Exactly: that's what has me extremely perplex, only the USA and Israel are proclaiming this "ceasefire", which is so extremely biased in favor of Israel that seems totally unbelievable.
It’s not biased in favor of the Likud
It’s simply 1701
1701? Ah (thank you Wikipedia), you must mean UNSC resolution 1701, which was signed in 2006 after Israel failed to conquer Lebanon and Hizbollah emerged as a regional power on its own right.
How, after the massive Hizbollah victory, with Israel unable to do almost anything and suffering devastating bombings in all its key military bases through occupied Palestine, including central Tel Aviv or far south near Gaza, just this very weekend, can a “return to the nominal status quo” be reasonable? The key issue is that Hizbollah entered the war in support of Gaza and against the genocide, yet not a word has been uttered about Gaza or the status of Palestine in general. It makes no sense… unless it’s actually being agreed but not yet revealed.
Nobody has seen the text of the ceasefire/peace agreement and Hizbollah remains silent (i.e. they’re not rejecting but neither fully agreeing to what is being said… yet). Something is fishy!
The text of the Capitulation Agreement requires the Likud to uphold all UN resolutions, meaning the 18.Sept 2023 resolution is included. Presser
https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/09/1154496
We don’t know the text of what you call “the capitulation agreement” (most commonly known as Hizbollah-Israel ceasefire agreement). What you link to is a UNGA draft resolution that demands Israel to fully retreat from West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem (internationally recognized Palestinian State), which is nice and dandy but not an agreement signed by the parts.
Here is the full text of the Capitulation Agreement signed by the Likud.
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/full-text-ceasefire-agreement-lebanon-and-israel
That’s interesting because it’s not an agreement with Hizbollah but with Lebanon (a colonial statelet that doesn’t control its own country and heavily depends on Hizbollah for its defense), yet it commands Hizbollah to do absurd things that can only pave the way for Israeli invasion of Lebanon, by leaving the country’s southern border undefended and not addressing the issue of Gaza’s Genocide. In other words: it’s a diplomatic trap!
No wonder we haven’t heard any comment from Hizbollah themselves, they’ve been snared.
You need to look up the definition of capitulation.
How about
The Likud sues for Peace
So essentially this agreement was between U.S. and Israel not Israel and Hezbollah. What a bunch of clowns. 60 days of “don't do anything stupid” until Trump gets in.
What has Hizbollah said? I have yet to hear a word from them. Why would Hizbollah retreat from Southern Lebanon, when they were winning every single battle and even bombing Tel Aviv and other targets deep into "Israel" (as deep as it gets in the colonial statelet, which is very small).
Apparently this is NOT a "ceasefire" but a "cessation of hostitlities" – accordiing to Elijah Magnier – which is one step lower on the rung than a "ceasefire."
"Hostilities" can be renewed at any time under such a deal.
Nonetheless, this remains a UNILATERAL cessation by Israel.
Which as I said before, likely means some sort of trap is being prepared for the Axis of Resistance, as well as enabling the IDF to recover and regroup from their dismal failure in Southern Lebanon as well being a PR stunt by Biden.
This just feels like what's really going down here is an agreement between the parties (Iran, Washington, Tel Aviv) to abandon Gaza ( also perhaps West Bank) to their fate (genocide) in return for Israel giving up its putsch for all-out regional war. … Human history is a nightmare from which there is no awakening.
Have you heard anything from Hizbollah? I haven't. I have heard from Iran that they will still retaliate against Israel no matter what.
I think that the "ceasefire" is a farce. Some propaganda stunt.
Right, … given past history, … the surface is likely a stunt, but still it is designed to achieve some material end … i.e. not among those BB enumerated. The thing is, we know for a certainty FJB and BB never even come near telling the truth.
https://x.com/i/status/1861645981940363567 I'd have to agree, Andrei.
Israel doesn't get to give orders about what people in other countries are allowed to do, newsflash to them, even if Israeli soldiers are still occupying another country. As long as the Lebanese aren't shooting at Israelis and Israel wants to be seen as following what they agreed to, civilians can go wherever they want in Lebanon including to the ruins of their homes.
Cease firing! Reload. Start firing again. How many times have we seen this?
Something smells fishy here…!
1. It is only a 60-day ceasefire…!
2. After 60 days, Israel can invade Lebanon facing a soft resistance of Lebanese Army which are not trained to the caliber of Hezbollah fighters, and that is not good news for Hezbollah…!
3. What would happen to the extensive Hezbollah tunnels at the southern border. Hezbollah would abandon those…?!
Unless Hezbollah fighters dressed as Lebanese Army personnel enter this so called buffer zone, I don't believe this set up works well for them…!
Yes, it's absolute nonsense and I have yet to hear a word from Hizbollah. Who signed this?
This only shows the sign of coward…!
Exactly netman, exactly!
In history of warfare, many times in the days and hours before a cease fire there are massive attacks. Did you not notice Hezbollah attack on Tel Aviv in last few days? Does that make Hezbollah a coward.
@disqus_qhuce9v5DO:disqus The problem Tim is when there is a clear aggressor and a defender, the aggressor doesn't have the right to bomb anything in the first place, especially when the cowards are killing and bombing civilian infrastructure.
And now, Hamas is asking to be part of the ceasefire, surprising what happens when a NEW sheriff is about to come to town.
Yes, they all fear Trump so much. After all, he would give Israel anything they want. Oh wait, so does Biden. It's just that Biden puts bullshit red lines out there that he doesn't enforce that Trump wouldn't bother with but I'm sure Hamas isn't aware of that (/s). It's just Trump's mere presence and his "peace through strength" rhetoric that will bring peace on earth. /S
Yet, … it’s only now … that they come around. Are you sad to see the end of the conflict?
Once again, bullshit. Hamas has been asking for cease fire all along. It's Netanyahu that insists on it being a temporary one that would allow Israel to resume the massacre after the hostages are released. And Hamas won't agree to any cease fire now that will include their demise. So, the conflict is far from over. And Trump didn't have shit to do with it regardless of what happens. Why on earth would Hamas fear Trump? What is Trump going to do different than Biden? Not a fucking thing.
What has me extremely perplex is that Gaza is not explicitly mentioned anywhere, when Hizbollah, which was clearly defeating Israel (massively so), intervened in support of Gaza and against the genocide. What's going on?
”Crimes against humanity” much?….
Still scratching my head. But the only possible logic is that this announcement is part of a larger deal, which does include Gaza but will be announced later.
The Palestinian Information Center is the only website where I could find clues related to this possibility. I quote (Biden speaking):
“During the next few days, the United States will make another attempt with Türkiye, Qatar and others to reach a ceasefire in Gaza,” Biden added.
He also stressed that the United States is ready to reach a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, a historic agreement between Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and to include a security agreement that also leads to the establishment of a Palestinian state.
> https://english.palinfo.com/news/2024/11/27/329513/
Let's not forget that Hizbollah intervened in support of Gaza and against the genocide, and that they were clearly winning the war against Israel, bombing Tel Aviv and what-not just a couple of days ago, with the Iron Dome nowhere to be seen (seems they run out of hyper-expensive ammo). The deal for Gaza or all "the territories" (internationally recognized Palestinian State) is probably already signed but this gradual and "separate" presentation of the whole deal was also agreed for so Netanyahu could save face.
"Still scratching my head. But the only possible logic is that this announcement is part of a larger deal, which does include Gaza but will be announced later."
Only time would tell…! All bets are off if Israel resumes bombardment of Gaza…!
Israel has been bombing Gaza (a school and mosque were destroyed, 11 killed) after the Lebanon ceasefire deal was announced. But that does not preclude that a Gaza deal has been signed. Israel also bombed Lebanon just before the northern deal went into effect: they are that kind of psychopathic bully, you know.
”Music soothes the savage beast!”
Middle East Eye Nov. 26
Under
Lebanon: Israel and Hezbollah agree to ceasefire brokered by US and France
“Ameet Makhol, an analyst and researcher in Haifa, told Middle East Eye that the deal was Israel's admission that it could not achieve a decisive military victory.
"This might be the first rational decision acknowledging the limits of power and acknowledging that the army is exhausted, overburdened, and placing a heavy strain on soldiers, especially on the reserve forces," Makhol said.
Makhol said the deal was also a way to shift focus towards Syria and Iran. "There is no rush regarding Gaza. Instead, the warning to [Bashar al-]Assad and the emphasis on prioritising action against Iran may define the next phase."
The US will transition to a new government in January, with President-elect Donald Trump taking office. Makhol said the agreement was a way to buy time, not to permanently end hostilities as Biden said, with Netanyahu "viewing the truce as a waiting period for Trump".
"Israel is betting on its plans and alliance with the United States and a mechanism to manage the situation through an active role for
Centcom, a permanent presence in Lebanon, and overseeing the agreement," Makhol added."
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-approves-ceasefire-deal-lebanon-hezbollah
Being displaced is a cumbersome aspect to all of this…
Israel thus far has failed to achieve its goals. Hezbollah survived to fight another day. The Lebanese are celebrating and dancing in the streets in support of the resistance that stood up to Israel and America. Last time we saw Israelis dancing and celebrating is when their army kills women and children in Gaza.
Hizbullah stays in the tunnel and Israel gets to say Hizbullah moved.
The Israelis will cheat, from the first hour, as they always do.
Biden will provide the bombs and political cover for their cheating, as he always does.
They are all war criminals.
That's not true. The Netanyahu regime will cheat immediately. No hour delay at all. Agreements are for the other side to adhere to. Wonder where they learned that from? Come to think about it, perhaps it was the other way around.
"If Israel sees “suspicious movements,” US officials say they are to report it to a US-led committee"….
What????? So, the USA, a co belligerent supplying the weapons that enabled this disaster, is supposed to be the monitor for infractions????
Seriously? .
The whole deal is ambiguous and vague…!
They should make the ceasefire terms public for everyone to see…!
The Lebanese civilians totally ignored this dickhead and already reached their homes if not yet demolished by Israel…!
If this is, and goes, as it appears to be, this sounds like a really good thing.
Exceedingly queer that the ASI & US can broker a ceasefire deal with Lebanon & Hezbolla'ah yet seem manifestly unable (read : unwilling) to do so with Hamas – particularly when there might still be 'hostages' to recover in Gaza.
Might this be a sign that the ASI recognizes that it's vaunted IDF has neither the strength nor the endurance for more than one front ?
Hezbollah was under incredible pressure from Lebanese civil society to agree to a ceasefire. It is ridiculous to pretend that the ceasefire is a victory for Hezbollah. This ceasefire is not a victory for Hezbollah or the Palestinian people. Now Israel can ramp up the genocide in Gaza and transfer troops from the North to Gaza. Under Nasrallah a ceasefire with Hezbollah was linked to a ceasefire in Gaza. No ceasefire with Gaza meant no ceasefire with Hezbollah. Israel has now broken that linkage. More than ever before Hamas and Islamic Jihad are the only forces standing against Israeli genocide except for the Houthis. The entire world is failing Palestine. China remains Israel's main import trade partner, India remains the main customer for Israeli weapons and high tech, South Africa continues to export diamonds to Israel and Muslim and African countries continue to sell Israel 220,000 barrels of oil a day without which Israel could not maintain the genocide in Gaza. This is not a good deal for Palestine or Hezbollah. More than ever it is up to the American people to force our government to end the genocide. But please don't pretend that this ceasefire is a victory for Hezbollah or Palestine.
Palestine will win in the long run, but the road to freedom just got harder.
"Tell no lies, claim no easy victories."
-Amilcar Cabral.
Here goes another delaying tactic cooked up between Israel and the US in order to give Israel time to regroup and rearm. Then, back to slaughtering civilians.