A number of US troops and logistics forces have been arriving in the Syrian city of Raqqa recently, and are in the process of establishing a new military base in the area, in Hasakeh Province.
The location makes some sense, though no official announcement has been made yet. The US has an estimated 1,000 troops left in Syria, and 28 declared military sites. They are mostly in Hasakeh, so it makes sense that the new base would be there too.
The timing is particularly telling, however. Just over a week prior, the US said they had “no plans” to withdraw from Syria militarily, and the National Security Council’s John Kirby said the US presence is “solely to combat ISIS.”
There is an ISIS presence around Raqqa, mostly lingering remnant forces in and around the desert area. Those forces often end up fighting Syrian and Russian forces, and sometimes the Kurdish YPG.
The US military intervention in Syria mostly began around 2011 with support for anti-Assad rebels, though late in the Bush Administration the US had launched some attacks. It was President Obama who started the deployment of troops on an official basis in 2015 to fight ISIS but also with a close eye on regime change as a secondary goal.
The US has imposed growing sanctions against the Syrian government, again meant to harm their ability to resist the rebels and to push regime change. This has had little impact, but US officials say there is no plan to remove any of those sanctions. That’s unsurprising, as the US tends to make sanctions a permanent fact of international diplomacy.
Obama’s escalation led to US and YPG forces chasing ISIS out of most of its cities, and into the wilderness areas they presently occupy. President Trump began a pullout from Syria, though he ultimately reversed course and announced the remaining troops would stay to “take the oil.”
The remaining presence is centered on two bases, the base on the Jordanian border at al-Tanf, and a smaller base at one of the Syrian oilfields meant to facilitate a US company taking the oil. Locals say the new Raqqa base has a similar design to the smaller oilfield base.
This ends questions about the US pullout, and now it looks like re escalation is again the order of the day. Though we don’t know how many troops will be stationed in Raqqa, it looks relatively small. The troops are not invited by the Syrian government, and may find themselves at odds with Syrian forces.
This area is also in YPG territory, which normally wouldn’t be a problem since the US and Kurds are on good terms. Turkey has been fighting the Kurds and threatening bigger invasions. This could put the US into a deconfliction issue with the fellow NATO member.
Lacking any vision for what the US end to Syria involvement would look like, it has seemed the US was keeping troops in Syria just for the sake of keeping troops there. That has long risked unintended consequences, and the addition of more US troops and another base only increases that risk.
Where are the foreign policy realists? The world is not a Platonic construct. It’s made up of humans acting in bizarre, largely self-interested ways. For Heaven’s sake, Henry Kissinger has made the best statements about the state of world affairs. We primates are still learning to talk things out, to trade, to bargain, to make perhaps bad promises. But, no, let’s get out the stick and cudgel each other in a show of heinous bravado. Then the son of the guy bludgeoned to bits has a bright idea: I’ll make a much bigger and heavier cudgel. That’ll learn’em. And the cycle continues. So sad that Trump, the outsider, who had strange (!!) ideas about approaching enemies differently than in the previous Establishment proven-deadend ways was so loathed in the US that even his good ideas were dismantled and destroyed, eg, stopping war games with S Korea — lo and behold, N K stopped missile tests.
Live and learn…!
I’m sorry to pop that balloon. We never “learn” and it remains to be seen if we’re to “live.” Trump and/or his handlers made sure he had John Bolton by his side to destroy any chance for peace with NK. Remember John Bolton offering NK “the Libya model” for regime change? That was brilliant! (sarcasm)
“So sad that Trump, the outsider, who had strange (!!) ideas about approaching enemies differently than in the previous Establishment proven-dead-end ways was so loathed in the US . . . ”
This is exactly OPPOSITE the truth! Because Trump was supported by so many Americans he had to be “couped” by his enemies and their compliant mainstream media. The three biggest red lines that NEITHER party or even most networks (even Newsmax and Fox News) won’t cross over are war, “pandemic” and “vaccines” and criticism of Israel. The days of people like RFK and MLK, Jr., power populists that they were, are seemingly over! Tulsi Gabbard would be the closest thing to these two leaders if she would just take a stand and rebuke her own party!
Guess I’m too immersed in Bay Area culture to appreciate Trump’s standing elsewhere. I can’t begin to describe how irrationally disliked he is here. Anyway: I thought Tulsi gave Dem’s a pretty good bollocking when she left party. She, IMHO, is great. Maybe economically not libertarian, but on pretty much all else. Oh, again, those in Bay Area thought she was “weird,” had belonged to cult, etc. So once again, the Bay Area manifests deep complacency, groupthink, and — hahahaha — lack of acceptance of diverse people.
The difference between Tulsi Gabbard and a chameleon is that a chameleon’s color changes are at least somewhat convincing.
Gabbard was “Republican hawks’ favorite Democrat” until she discovered that she could augment the Hindu nationalist funding that put and kept her in Congress with “non-interventionist” donations by sticking one foot on the caboose steps of the Trump train. Her latest moves are pretty transparently aimed at getting her an appointment — probably US ambassador to India, but maybe a cabinet position — in a post 2024 Republican regime.
Tulsi has always very transparently been all about promoting Tulsi.
We need to GTFO of Syria, wish everybody luck and go.
Hi John:
I tend to agree but we tend not to be very practical….
The Syrians needed our good luck wishes like they needed holes in their heads, which many of them actually got. That and mass starvation, destruction, illness, and terrorism.
i have friends here who are syrians. they say that it used to be a very nice place.
“We”?
The “Royal” we….
All the criticism and fighting against Russia and the USA is actually doing and has been doing FAR WORSE in Syria!
Well, there’s oil to be stolen, and rebels to kill. Try to think of it as a pentagon amusement park. We have lots of those.
The oil and rebels are not Syrian. The bases there are used against the whole region. Syria’s own government just can’t control its own territory, so the Americans get a playground.
It is not just the Pentagon. The CIA and State Dept are just as much the abusers here.
We have to keep troops in Syria to protect the oil we’re stealing from the Syrian people. I wonder if we asked for authorization to build yet another military base there? Wait, I’m pretty sure I already know the answer.
There is very little oil in Syria, not even enough for Syria’s own pre-war limited needs.
The US is there for other nefarious reasons — regime change in Iran, in Syria, to monitor regime compliance in Iraq, and to create a new nation of obedient auxiliaries from the Kurds.
Apparently 60,000 bbls a day worth.
Just in time to support Netanyahu
Pardon me but it should be: Netanyoyo!
I like it. Thank you Donna for your contribution. Now, I’m conflicted. Netanyoyo reflects recent events and competes with my favorite, “Satanyahu.” I believe one of our colleagues coined that one. Whoever it is, please let us know. Was it you Gypsy? Please forgive me. I’m not sure. It’s been a long time. It’s an oldie but a goodie.
The US military intervention in Syria mostly began around 2011 with support for anti-Assad rebels
in other words; ISIS who have been plaguing Assad – so the claim that uncle sam is “there to fight ISIS is nothing more than BS. on a related note, uncle sam has been stealing syria’s oil for quite some time now.
No doubt, the Biden Administration is every bit the warmonger as anything that came before. In some ways, worse than Obama (who resisted) and Trump (who blithered).
Worse, the Biden Administration has bungled its wars, so they don’t even get a good start before collapsing. It is Afghanistan without the initial victory over the Taliban, Iraq without first defeating Saddam.
Fools. Leading us to disaster.
Do they have a Camp Alamo?