The IAEA has a lot of statements on Iran’s nuclear program which provoke panic about the nation, and the most regular ones are stockpile levels, which are now 18 times the deal limit from 2015.
These official reports are always absent an explanation, necessary because they’re not so scary sounding when one understands. The 2015 deal is not intact, despite ongoing negotiations, and subsequently the mechanism for reprocessing excess stockpiles into fuel to keep them below the limit isn’t working either.
The result of this is that Iran is continuing enrichment as it always was intended, but the rest of the world’s management of reprocessing isn’t happening, so the stockpile just keeps growing, with Iran trying to make their own fuel.
The bottom line figures show the stockpile growing at a more or less steady rate, and none of the stockpile is weapons grade despite alarmists trying to predict imminent breakout risks.
If Iran tests an atomic bomb, how many Israelis are going to leave? Israel has perhaps the most mobile population in the world, and if it starts dropping precipitously they’re going to be in trouble.
One can hope, Ted.
And good for Iran. Without JCPOA to encumber them, they’re taking their destinies into their own hands. Perhaps China will help seal the deal.
Two words here: Sampson Option. Maybe time to start taking it seriously and get to some resolution that avoids it. Don’t quote me, but maybe we can tiptoe through the minefield we’ve spent so many decades and trillions of dollars laying down and get to somewhere sustainable on the other side.
Nicely assessed.
Not selling my Shell stock.
Biden has signed off on a lot of leases. Something like 34% more than Trump.
What if Iran tests it over Tel Aviv?
No, we would not want that. That would result in horrendous suffering and death of many, many innocent people. We want justice and development throughout the world for all people all the time. Sadly the Western powers, by their actions want hegemony not peace and harmony.
Very Anti-War of you!
“The result of this is that Iran is continuing enrichment as it always was intended, but the rest of the world’s management of reprocessing isn’t happening, so the stockpile just keeps growing, with Iran trying to make their own fuel.”
More self-fulfilling prophesy. Drop out of the deal so Iran can’t reprocess making the stockpile grow so you can scream Iran is weeks away from the bomb.
Being a signatory of the NPT, Iran can enrich withing certain limits. Inspections are allowed, etc. So what if the amount exceeds the limits of the JCPOA. When Trump pulled the U.S. out of the agreement, all bets were off. Iran still abides by the NPT.
That is the puzzler. The JCPOA is/was the NPT on steroids. The only explanation is that those opposed want war as the only option.
Bingo! Who?
The IAEA is nothing but a Zionist front collaborating with US to issue these statements once in a while to Keep the fear, isolate and put Iran in a corner…!
When is the IAEA inspections of Israel’s stockpiles going to be inspected?
Well said!
Iran is still under the guise of the NPT which Iran is a signatory (signed 1968, ratified 1970), which certain countries, namely Israel, has not signed. We all know that Israel HAS the bomb.
And I do believe that one of these days, Israel will use it…
I keep pointing this out but this is all about Israel not accepting an Iranian nuclear capability, period. A large scale civilian nuclear power program is essentially a nuclear weapon capability without the bombs. The challenging part of a nuclear weapon is the plutonium, which is naturally created in a nuclear reactor. Iran already has the missiles, and with their reactors they can readily produce the plutonium. They are headed toward shadow nuclear parity with Israel, and Israel is not going to stand for it, so neither can Israel’s bitch. Don’t bother with the political double talk, this is the entire analysis in a nutshell.