Reflecting their recent military gains, Syria has formally reopened the M5 highway to civilian traffic. This highway, linking Damascus to Aleppo, is open for the first time in eight years.
Syria took the last rebel-held towns on the highway, in Idlib Province, over the last month in anti-al-Qaeda offensives. This reopening represents a rejection of Turkish demands that Syria unconditionally cede those towns back to the Islamists.
With Damascus as Syria’s capital, and Aleppo as its pre-war financial hub, this is arguably Syria’s most important highway, and while Syria has controlled both cities for awhile, having control over the highway goes a long way toward post-war rebuilding.
Syria’s control over the country’s major cities suggests the war is indeed almost wrapped up, though Turkey’s threat to invade the country, and thousands of troops they’ve already sent, may suggest another war is about to kick off.
Starting a two front war on Syria and Libya while the country is in economical decline and Russia can worsen it significantly shouldn’t Erdogan come to his senses, might be the single most stupid thing Erdogan has done so far and will ultimately lead to civil war and disintegration of Turkey as we know it today. Greece should prepare to get their eastern provinces back eventually and Armenians their south. Russia as the heir of eastern orthodoxy would be more than happy to secure Constantinople…
I do not see a doom, everybody is predicting. Idlib is the last game in town, with proxies still on the ground. HRS is Western proxy, funded through White Helmets “humanitarian” outfit, staffed mostly by various intelligence and special ops. HTS controls myriad Islamists groups. Turkey will peel them off, and the fate of HTS is at present anybody’s guess. Turkey can find them employment opportunities, it has military action of sorts under way in Libya. It is an ultimate irony. First militants and arms that came to fight Assad — came from Libya.
The rest of militants are Syrians that Turkey can resettle in tampon zone along border.
The key is to eliminate foreign proxies, and after YPG has been abandoned by US, it is time UK gives up on White Helmets. Turkey, Iran and Russia are coordinating, and in spite of Turkish internal politics that is scaremongering the arrival of flood of refugees — it is already becoming clearer that those reports were exaggerated.
It may take a while to seize control of the area, as it depends on the loyalty of groups to HTS — a bargaining chip with Turkey. What we are seeing are end games.