National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien discussed the Afghanistan reduction of violence on Sunday, and ominously suggested that the deal would likely collapse from a single Taliban attack, noting Trump scrapped the peace deal last time over such an attack.
That was how the initial peace process was abandoned, though it came without any agreement from either side to stop attacks. This time, everyone is making it clear what’s expected, and so far the process is holding.
But whether the reduction of violence will last its whole week or not remains to be seen, and it’s realistic to worry that a single attacker could threaten the entire process. This once again suggests the US commitment to peace is very transitory.
That O’Brien is already talking about the collapse of a deal is worrying, as it suggests the US might be planning to reverse out of this deal again, and is already laying the groundwork for blaming the Taliban.