Over the weekend, Afghan voters went to the polls, and with the Taliban
threatening to attack polling places, many registered voters stayed
home. This led to another major decline in voter turnout.
Early estimates are that between 20% and 25% of voters turned out. If this bears out, it will be the lowest turnout Afghanistan has seen since the 2001 US invasion and occupation.
Officials are saying this disastrously low turnout won’t be enough to disrupt the election, but between that, the threats of violence, and the allegations of fraud that began even before the voting started, officials will once again struggle to sell this election to the public.
That’s par for the course in Afghanistan, where every major election
since the US takeover has been heavily contested, with election
commissions fighting over the counts and recounts. Indeed, the 2014
election, the most recent, ended with the US declaring both candidates
winners and creating a whole second office for the other candidate.
Assuming no one decisively wins this round of the election, low turnout
notwithstanding, they will have to have a run-off vote between the top
two vote getters. Since this election has already been delayed, a
run-off would be particularly inopportune, and would again boil down to
President Ghani and CEO Abdullah Abdullah, the same two as in the 2014
election.
Lowest Afghan Election Turnout Ever: 20%
Threats, complaints of fraud mar oft-troubled Afghan vote
Jason Ditz is Senior Editor for Antiwar.com. He has 20 years of experience in foreign policy research and his work has appeared in The American Conservative, Responsible Statecraft, Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times, and the Detroit Free Press.
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