The struggle between North Korea not wanting to continue down the
denuclearization path without getting anything in return and the Trump
Administration being bound and determined not to give them any sanctions
relief may be starting to come into focus on a compromise.
According to diplomatic sources familiar with the ongoing efforts to
broker a North Korean nuclear freeze for something, Kim Jong Un has told officials that he prefers to get security guarantees instead of sanctions relief.
While this would spare Trump from having to sell sanctions relief that
he’s long promised not to offer, it’s not clear what security guarantees
would actually look like, as the US probably isn’t any more willing to
offer a proper peace treaty or non-aggression pact.
Still, a less public but still enforceable guarantee of some sort would
be a potential cure-all for this, giving North Korea an assurance that
the US isn’t going to suddenly attack them mid-way through
denuclearization, and getting some sort of reward for freezing their
nuclear production.
While this could be complicated, it is also attainable in a way previous
nuclear deal efforts weren’t, and could be sold by both nations as a
win. That makes it a very encouraging sign.
There is no possible security guarantee from Trump. Nobody in his right mind would believe anything Trump promises. Trump will attack if and when he thinks he can get away with it. Keeping nuclear weapons is about the only way to prevent him attacking. Iran take note. See also Pakistan’s experience.
Oh yeah, Trump is just carpet bombing the world, amiright? Stupid hyperbole doesn’t help the cause, it just marks you out as an unreliable source of information.
Not the world, he is sanction bombing most of that, but he did carpet bomb Syria, as he promised. Greatly increased airstrikes in every other theater.
Have you not noticed? Cuba, Venezuela, Iran, Syria?
The USA itself is shady and untrustworthy; Trump triply so. He’s famous for speaking out of both sides of his mouth and not living up to his guarantees. Truth, not hyperbole.
Kim’s belly is always full. Not surprising he wants security over sanctions. More proof sanctions don’t hurt those in power.
And if the sanctions remain, he can more easily continue painting the USA as the reason for his country’s miserable conditions and himself as the sole savior of his country (sound familiar actually?)
There are several security issues trump could do 3 years ago. Big one would be to move those US naval assets which make seaborne invasion possible. Since the South Korean marines won’t board the ships for exercises anyway, cost is 0. Peace treaty of course, cost…0. US troops stationed there to be casualties in the advent of war, are not needed. The US will gladly go to war whether they die or not..cost….0. The US could pull out the B-2, B-52h first strike nuke air assets trump deployed to Guam in January 2020…cost….0. I’m sure there’s more….
The best action that could be taken would be that of a peace treaty, which was never signed when the fighting stopped. An armistice is nothing compared to a peace treaty. However, President Eisenhower didn’t want a peace treaty, only an armistice. In that way, he stationed around 50,000 US forces in South Korea.
All 3 DPRK leaders called for a peace treaty (Kim Jong-Un being the 3rd), but it hasn’t happened. A peace treaty would put an end to the Korean Cold War and reunite the Korean Peninsula into one country.
Who would believe the USA? How enforceable would it be?