In a special briefing for the Christian Science Monitor, President
Trump’s top economic adviser Larry Kudlow revealed that the
administration is already working with banks internationally in plans to greatly increase US investment in Venezuela if there is a regime change.
President Trump has demanded immediate regime change, with Venezuela’s
president to be replaced by their opposition leader, who is seen as more
pro-US. Kudlow says there is a “Day Two” plan to see huge influxes of
cash if and when that happens.
This is in keeping with the Trump Administration’s belief that it can
effectively shut down the economy of a disobedient nation, and then
miraculously turn things around at a moment’s notice once they comply.
Whether the US can actually revive Venezuela’s long-suffering economy
with a single round of investment, even government-approved investment,
is unclear. Since this is the carrot the US is dangling in diplomatic
operations with nations like North Korea, a failure could hurt the US
negotiating position.
I cannot believe this can pass the straight face test. Meaning banks are lined up to give loans to the coul leaders to sign Venezuela’s wealth away for peanuts.
There’s NOT going to be any regime change in Venezuela, the Russians have seen to that. With Russian assistance, President Nicolas Maduro has secured his position. It’s Juan Guaido who lost here. Maduro now has the authority to go after him and have him arrested and charged with sedition, at least, or even treason.
Maduro’s biggest problem right now is Venezuela’s electric grid. The blackouts were caused by cyberattacks on the grid by US hackers, as well as by acts of sabotage by opposition groups.
It is rather interesting. Russia has gradually firmed up the vocabulary. The most interesting yet, not allowing Venezuela to become next Syria. What will make it like Syria? If there is any Latin American country willing to play the role of Saudi Arabia, funding “revolutionaries”. The problem for creators of color revolutions is the one of image. In the war thorn and disillusioned Middle East, it was possible to sell appocaliptic cults, reviving imaginary Islamic period of first three generations. And Saudi Arabia under aging Crown Princes was ideal — fear of revolution Iran style resulted in the overreaction, rise of more conservative Wahhabi clerics, and an effort to use charity to support Salafism poorer segments of Arabic world. Radicalized were tens of millions jn Egypt countryside. Iraqi war decimated Sunnis of Iraq, and millions joined the ranks of poor in Syria, Jordan and Lebanon. All fertile grounds for mixing food donations with Islamic cult behavior. Thus, it was easy to weaponize them, and for US to “stand by” Sunnis to target Shia in the region. And it worked until Russia stepped in, supported tuler with good standing in all religious communities. And the extreme Sunni cults allienated urban and educated Sunnjs of Syria, Jordan and Lebanon, while endangering outright Shia and Christisn communities. The terror matted out by the cults, brought others together,
There was a reason Saudi Arabia resorted to court coup. Because after a series of agjng heirs to the throne, a relatively young US favorite, Mihammed bin Nayaf took the Crown Prince position. And neocons, with the WORST sense for timing — tried to oust King Salman, claiming that he suffers from dementia and Alzheimers to boot. The transparent goal was — get MbN to force Kjng to retire, and then appoint his successor. They were hoping to have decades of obedient Saudi Arabia. Russia stepped in essentially to confront Saudi support for militants in Syria and Iraq. US was moving in to essentially take over territory losely held by ISIS. Saudi Arabia found itself being blamed by US for doing exactly what US wanted.
June 2017 court coup changed Middle East, and I do not think we are appreciating the significance. Downhill for US policy in ME. ever since.
In Venezuela, however, there is an image poblem. How to brand Guaido and his followers. Democrats? Means nothing in Latin America. Revolutionarries? What, being to the left of Maduro? They tried getting military, an old fashioned military coup is always a sucess in Latin America. Not in the cards as of now.
If military stays strong as in Syria, external help, like Russian can work. It is interesting that Venezuelan foreign minister just viisited Damascus.
Venezuela, like Syria, needs to beef up civil defense, and local militias to protect communities against terror groups — like in Syria, such groups atack smaller and less guarded regions, and force population to join their ranks. Electric grid priblems is what terror groups did in Syria, and many lessons should be learned there.
Now, it is up to the region. It is interesting that Mexico is suddenly in crosshairs. Something to do with not supporting the revolutionary/democrat Guaido?
Pump money into Venezuela, immediately prior to pumping oil out! By the way, since there is no budget for said pumping, are we going to be doing the ISIS number and selling stolen oil to subsidize the ongoing theft? Or shall we print a few billion and debase the US citizens currency? Just askin’.
Time to ‘disappear’ Guaido but ‘slow and easy wins the race.’
Sure, the US banks are going to finance oil refineries in Venezuela so that more money can go into Venezuela’s socialistic economy. I doubt that will happen. What will happen (should the Great Invisible Hand choose to get involved) is that the Venezuelan crude will then fetch the Venezuelan people about 10 cents a barrel; the oil will be refined in Baton Rouge; and then resold to the Venezuelan people for about $5/ gallon;
This tactic is no different then sending “aid” to Venezuela’s border. Winning hearts and minds with the promise of an influx of riches.
Trade the fungible oil for return of frozen assets and overpriced (hundreds of dollars an hour) otherwise unmarketable services billed with free abandon to dollars a day Venezuelans.
Like the Palestinians, the Venezuelans have put up with a great deal from the US interference to destroy their lives, and will not be bought by money the overbearing greedy Big Brother thinks can buy them. Unlike the USA, many countries prefer sovereignty and choice, not replacement of their government by one paid for by someone else. The pretence that the USA is somehow free and works for its population is easily seen in the behavior of Israel, Koch Industries, other lobbies and of course NATO and the spending on “defense” by the USA, which cannot pretend to be in existential danger from outside.
A normal person reading the headline would think ‘the govt is going to give aid to Venezuela’. At best this just means that the U.S. is going to unfreeze assets that were illegally frozen and loans they have to pay back. I hate the MSM (not anti-war, they are just showing the original headline).
We saw the “aid” recently offered despite the Red Cross warning. Remove the sanctions and let Venezuela flourish.
Try the same with Cuba!!!!!
US media reported that the Venezuelan opposition leader declared himself interim president immediately following a phone call with US Vice President Mike Pence.
Did Venezuela’s President Really ‘Steal’ the 2018 Election from an Unknown Who Didn’t Run? That wouldn’t make sense. Because Guaidó didn’t even run in the 2018 presidential election. Before the fateful day of January 22, fewer than one in five Venezuelans had heard of Juan Guaidó. Only a few months ago, the 35-year-old was an obscure character in a politically marginal far-right group closely associated with gruesome acts of street violence. Even in his own party, Guaidó had been a mid-level figure in the opposition-dominated National Assembly, which is now held under contempt according to Venezuela’s constitution.
Where are the ‘empty shelves’? Max Blumenthal tours Caracas supermarket (VIDEO) https://www.rt.com/news/452158-blumenthal-venezuela-supermarket-shelves/
“Did Venezuela’s President Really ‘Steal’ the 2018 Election from an Unknown Who Didn’t Run? That wouldn’t make sense. Because Guaidó didn’t even run in the 2018 presidential election.”
Which is why nobody is claiming that Maduro “stole” the 2018 election from Guaido.
I would gladly pay you Tuesday, for a hamberder today…..
Put Guaido in the dock immediately for rebellion and treason. Once ***LEGITIMATELY*** convicted — he did his treason in full view of the world — put his ass in jail. Then let’s see who comes forward next to betray Venezuela on behalf of the US.
Both Russian ***AND*** Chinese troops are in Venezuela now. Game, set, match. Bye bye Bolton & Abrams (and hopefully Pompeo) in disgrace. It ain’t the world of 1823 anymore. (1823 = The Monroe Doctrine.)
If Guaido goes in a cell, the countdown begins to find out whether Maduro 1) replaces him in that cell, 2) flees to Cuba, or 3) ends up hanging by his toes while being dismembered by a mob.
Arresting Guaido is exactly what Bolton and Abrams are hoping like hell Maduro is stupid enough to do.
Someone please give Guaido his “Dancing With the Stars” slot, and retire him to Mar Lago.
I disagree.
Everything the US has done so far has been cowardly. And the recent cyber attack that shut down the electric grid, demonstrates just how cowardly — how averse Trump is to overt military action. And now the Russians ***and*** the Chinese are there, which ups the stakes. In fact I’d say — though it’s just my opinion, as the above is yours — that that’s the end of the game.
I will say this though: arresting Guaido is unnecessary. Having him walk around free, spouting off, acting like he’s actually someone significant, rather than a clownish US stooge,… well that’s probably humiliating enough for the US, for Pompeo, Bolton, and Abrams.
If Maduro wants to arrest Guaido, he might consider the timing. Failure of the Pompeo, Bolton, Abrams Venezuela Gambit in the run-up to the 2020 elections can be turned to Trump’s advantage by unceremoniously dumping the “credit” for the failure on P, B & A, and firing them. The only question would be ***when*** to do it. At what point in the election cycle would it have maximum effect?
And there’s a beautiful twofer here for Trump. He not only reclaims his “Swamp Draining” credentials, but also can use P, B & A’s failure to neuter and discredit more broadly the Neocon cancer that has given us 911, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya & Syria.
Trump will not let P, B & A destroy his reelection chances. Quite the opposite. He ***will*** to a moral certainty, use them at the opportune moment, to enhance his reelection effort. At which moment he will throw their war-mongering asses under the bus. (And I’ll be waiting with bells on. I hope he doesn’t disappoint.)
So Maduro can wait until P, B & A are fired to deal with Guaido. That would probably be more judicious.
We shall see.
The divide over Trump seems to be over whether he’s fooled his supporters, or whether the hawks keep fooling him, or whether he’s playing some kind of deep game.
Every bit of his history, in and out of the White House, says it’s the first possibility of the three. In rhetoric, he plays both sides of the fence depending on which audience he’s addressing, but in practice he comes down on the hawks’ side every single time.
And since his supporters insist on fooling themselves as well, none of that will play in his re-election effort.
The people who supported him in 2016 will support him in 2020 no matter how many times he betrays them.
The people who opposed him in 2016 will oppose him in 2020 even if he drops the mask and they see that he’s never stopped being the establishment Democrat he’s been his whole life.
The only potential difference is the effectiveness of the two parties’ Get Out The Vote efforts.
It appears that until now, Guaido, under the Venezuelan constitution, enjoyed “parliamentary immunity”. The Maduro govt being a stickler for legality — yeah, I know, some would disagree — that would explain why he hasn’t been arrested up till now.
While I’m no believer in the journalistic integrity of the New York Times, the linked article seems to suggest that Guaido is no longer “immune”.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/02/world/americas/venezuela-guaido-immunity.html
So now Thomas, let’s see what happens.
Yes, let’s see what happens.
Maduro continues to let Guaido twist in the wind and remains in power.
Or Maduro cracks down and ends up just another in a long line of dispossessed former jefes.
I think dividing the spoils is a bit premature. China and Russia along with Cuba and Turkey are already there.
putting the cart before the horse ehh? typical of failed usa policies. the arrogance of imperialism comes before the fall of empire.