According to the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), some 200 ISIS
fighters came out of the tiny remnant of ISIS territory and surrendered
today. These 200 came out of the territory along with an estimated 3,000 civilians.
All of these people came out of a territory within the village of
Baghouz which the SDF had previously described as about 700 square
meters, smaller than a city block, and despite this, they claim large
amounts of ISIS fighters remain, along with an unknown number of
civilians.
These are preposterously large numbers coming out of a very small area,
and there is incredibly, no sign of them running out of either civilians
or combatants. The SDF now estimates around 1,000 ISIS remaining “give
or take” in this tiny area.
All of this gives the impression that the SDF estimates are catering to
different audiences, sometimes emphasizing how few ISIS remain and
predicting their defeat in a matter of days, and then weeks later
arguing that a huge amount of them remain and the fighting must
continue. When one considers the high priority the SDF keeps on
convincing the US of the need to stay in Syria, its not surprising that
the story of the battle of Baghouz is getting so inconsistent.
Large Number of ISIS Surrender in Syria, Many More Remain
US-backed forces claim 1,000 ISIS still in village
Jason Ditz is Senior Editor for Antiwar.com. He has 20 years of experience in foreign policy research and his work has appeared in The American Conservative, Responsible Statecraft, Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times, and the Detroit Free Press.
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