While the influx of asylum seekers from the Middle East into the European Union has been hugely controversial in some nations, and is fueling a lot of tensions, the European Commission’s reports suggest that they could be an economic boon for the continent if properly integrated into the workforce of those nations.
The Commission’s simulations are based on the assumption of 3 million refugees arriving between 2015 and 2017, a million this year, 1.5 million next, and 0.5 the following year. If half of the population are granted asylum, the EU’s labor force would increase 0.3 percent in each of the next two years.
There are several different estimates of the full scope of growth based different ranges of skills from the refugees, as at present it is hard to tell how many of them have advanced degrees or other valuable work experience. Germany, one of the nations absorbing the most, is expected to see 0.43 percent GDP growth next year from them, with that number growing annually all the way to 0.72 percent by 2020.
That’s non-trivial, as Germany’s flagging birth rate was expected to see the economy contract in that period, and the influx of new workers could well stall this. The cost of absorbing the refugees, by contrast, will steadily decrease over the next few years, as they are moved from refugee camps into the workforce in their destination countries.
Historically, Europe has lost population from migration, with the Western Hemisphere populated largely with refugees from one European crisis or another over the past few centuries. Their recent stability, however, and their close proximity to the Middle East, now makes them an inviting beneficiary of such a population influx.
Procreation seems to be to much work for the German people as their population is stagnant and even declining . Germans have nothing to worry about if the Mideastern refugees keep coming in like they are now .. All Germany needs to worry about is keeping plenty of food on the table and the refugees know how to multiply .
This is a plausible scenario, but is fairly long term. In the short term, the flood of migrants, few of whom seem to be in fact refugees, is driving the EU Member States together and bringing them closer to a joint military force to keep the numbers in check. In addition, it has totally undermined the anti-EU parties, who have had to go scrambling back to their original anti-immigrarant message. In the very long term, the development of a native-born Muslim community in Europe will undermine the influence of the diaspora Jews, who are quite influential in some Member States and will actually start to create a sort of "Europe-wide ethnicity" which will facilitate the European integration process, which has been ongoing since the Congress of Vienna 200 years ago. After all, why should a French Muslim of North African origin fight with a German Muslim of Turkish origin or a British Muslim of Pakistani origin?
This is complete and utter bullshit.
These "refugees" …. who are mostly MEN …. contain thousands of deliberately planted Islamists who will serve as a Trojan Horse within the body-politic of the democratic nations of Europe. ISIS has openly declared that it has planted hundreds of its own "sleeper" agents within the refugee population. Given the outrageous criminal behavior of many of these alleged refugees, it is obvious. It is naive in the extreme to believe otherwise. And NO, I don't give a rat's ass if anyone calls me a "bigot".
A report made for politics. Ecomomist Ha Joon Chang is a source, I would trust. Wages for many jobs will sink. This report has many holes in it. You could write a pamphlet for all the holes.
SaudiArabia allows in guest workers and boots them out. They are closer in language and culture also.