The State Department is engaged in secret talks with a number of other nations related to Syria’s stockpile of chemical weapons, and the possibility of making a move to seize them in the near future.
The State Department declined to comment directly on the talks, but said that Syria’s arsenal “undermines peace and security in the Middle East,” demanding that the Assad government join the Chemical Weapons Convention and destroy their stockpile.
Off the record, officials confirmed that the Syrian arsenal is “in play,” saying that the very existence of it proves Assad is a threat to US interests in the region, and that Assad might theoretically use the weapons during the civil war.
The later allegation has been a common one over the past few weeks, with officials repeatedly speculating that a chemical weapon attack on Homs is imminent. There is no evidence that such attacks have even been considered, and the clashes continue to be entirely conventional in nature. The threat that some faction in the Western-backed opposition might gain control of them might be even more serious, particularly with groups like al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) joining them.
Meanwhile Israel's undeclared biological, chemical and nuclear weapons are perfectly safe in the hands of a wannabe theoctracy.
The FedGov has all sorts of plans to steal other nations' weapons.
Saddam had chemical and biological weapons at the start of Gulf War I. He didn't use them, and ended up at the end of a rope. (He did fire his scuds at Israel, hoping for an Israeli response that would cause disunity among the Arab states joined in the fight against him, but the US convinced Israel to hold back.)
Gaddafi did not have chem or bio weapons (as far as I know), didn't use them, didn't fight back against the US, France, Italy, and the UK, and he ended up sodomized and executed.
Assad has seen the writing on the wall. Is he a walking dead man? Is he foolishly hoping against all evidence to escape the fate of Saddam and Gaddafi?
Under these circumstances what strategy can he and his Alawite clan employ to avoid extermination?
How about this: He positions a substantial fraction of his military right in the heart of rebel territory, loads up ***ALL*** his chem and bio weapons, and fires them…….. at Israel. In the midst of the immediate disarray, he follows up with a full commitment of his air assets(rather than lose them on the ground). The Israelis suffer massive casualties, tens of thousands of dead, and strike back (quite possibly with nukes), and full scale war is engaged.
What happens then? Does Israel become wounded and perhaps vulnerable? Chem and bio weapons in a dense urban setting could do enough damage to suggest to others that the time has come to put an end to Israel. Does a massive response by Israel, combined with an unprecedented degree of vulnerability, provoke a broader Arab response? Say what you will about the "Arab Spring", but the Egyptians, Libyans, Iraqis, Iranians, Lebanese, and Palestinians all deeply despise the Israelis.
Those who had WMDs (or didn't have them) and didn't use them, are dead. What's Assad to think?
The arrogant brinksmanship of unopposed and successful aggression always leads to overconfidence,…and then finally to overreach. Unless the Russians or Chinese step in to defuse this situation, the entire mid-east is gonna light up.