NATO ‘Dilemma’ as Libya Stalemate Continues

How Much More Will Additional Aid Help the Rebels?

NATO’s war in Libya continues apace, nearly two months after it began, with no ending in site. The two factions on the ground, the rebels who dominate East Libya and the Gadhafi regime which holds Western Libya, have seen few changes in territory over the past several weeks, and the stalemate appears to be virtually unending.

This has brought NATO to an interesting “dilemma.” Officials are stuck with the status quo or considering trying to escalate the war even more and pump even more support into the rebel faction as a way of breaking the stalemate. Of course ending the war is not being considered.

Of course, even if they do escalate their aid to the largely untrained rebel faction, there is no guarantee that it will change the situation meaningfully. The rebel faction does not seem to have much support in key western areas around Gadhafi’s ancestral homeland. Rebel offensives have always stalled in this area.

The UN Security Council is in a similar position, only with Russia and China both likely to veto further escalation. The UN resolution gave NATO cover for the war, but does not authorize a ground occupation. Stalemate and partition still seems the only practical end to the conflict, but seems to be heavily resisted by a number of NATO nations.

Author: Jason Ditz

Jason Ditz is Senior Editor for Antiwar.com. He has 20 years of experience in foreign policy research and his work has appeared in The American Conservative, Responsible Statecraft, Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times, and the Detroit Free Press.