As tensions with China continue to rise to dangerous levels, President Joe Biden’s administration is lobbying Senate Democrats to "put the brakes" on the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday. The bill was recently introduced by the hawkish Senators Bob Menendez (D-NJ), Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and Lindsey Graham (R-SC).
Analysts have said the bill – which, inter alia, would designate Taipei a "major non-NATO ally" – could see the One-China policy "in effect gutted." In a New York Times op-ed this week, Menendez said "we are laying out a new vision that ensures our country is positioned to defend Taiwan for decades to come."
The bill was supposed to be called up by the Foreign Relations Committee this week, but Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT) said work on the bill is being delayed until next month and could see revisions. "The White House has significant concerns," said Murphy, adding "I have significant concerns."
According to a report in The Dispatch, "[Murphy] planned to introduce changes to make some of its language more ambiguous regarding whether the United States would defend Taiwan in the event of an attack by China. A section of the proposal calls for the Defense Department to conduct a classified review of the US strategy to defend Taiwan. One of Murphy’s amendments would have changed that language to instead mandate a review of the strategy to deter the use of force by the Chinese military."
The upshot is that the White House currently sees provoking China further as unwise in the wake of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to the island, which triggered an unprecedented crisis in the Taiwan Strait. A Chinese military official warned the situation could lead to "a real war at any point." On the Republican side, Graham is accusing the administration of being soft on China. He has declared "it’s a miscalculation of how to keep the world in order." Graham added "at every turn they take the weakest path."
The bill would vastly expand Taiwan’s role in international institutions and, over four years, provide $4.5 billion in military aid to Taipei, including potentially long-range missiles capable of striking mainland China. This would make the island the fourth-largest recipient of US security assistance, behind only Kiev, Tel Aviv and Cairo.
If Beijing "is knowingly engaged in a significant escalation in hostile action” regarding Taiwan, using December 2021 as a baseline, the legislation would require massive sanctions on a wide swath of China’s financial institutions, industries, and much of the country’s political elite including President Xi Jinping.
The Dispatch article says a part of the bill would "block any restrictions on bilateral relations between officials from the United States and their Taiwanese counterparts," as well as change the name of the island’s de facto embassy in the US from the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office (TECRO) to the "Taiwan Representative Office."
When Taiwan opened a diplomatic outpost with the latter name in Lithuania last year, signifying official rather than the "unofficial" status in line with the One-China policy, it caused a major row. The US supported Vilnius, as the Biden administration was "seriously considering" such a move itself. However, Beijing viewed it as a serious violation of the One-China principle and recalled its ambassador. The Lithuanians subsequently reciprocated.
The Dispatch report also suggests that it was not necessarily the Executive Branch’s ambivalence that halted the bill until September. "One Democratic Senate source familiar with the situation told The Dispatch the schedule change was not related to the White House’s concerns, but it came because… [Menendez] had to manage Senate floor debate on an unrelated measure Wednesday night to allow Finland and Sweden to join NATO."
The Bloomberg report, citing "people familiar with the matter," said the White House fears the bill would interfere with the "strategic ambiguity" policy regarding whether Washington, in the event of an attack by mainland China, would intervene militarily to defend the island. Murphy said "I’m not sure this is the moment to throw out 40 years of policy," while maintaining "it makes sense for us to draw closer to Taiwan." In Menendez’s op-ed, he wrote "the United States needs less ambiguity to guide our approach to Taiwan."
Sen. Jim Risch, the committee’s top Republican, said "Many of us are ready to mark up the Taiwan Policy Act today," adding the administration has "done enough damage on Taiwan policy, and continues to add to it this week. It should not interfere in the legislative process."
"If you put this on the floor of the Senate, it would pass overwhelmingly," Graham told Bloomberg.
Connor Freeman is the assistant editor and a writer at the Libertarian Institute, primarily covering foreign policy. He is a co-host on Conflicts of Interest. His writing has been featured in media outlets such as Antiwar.com and Counterpunch, as well as the Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity. He has also appeared on Liberty Weekly, Around the Empire, and Parallax Views. You can follow him on Twitter @FreemansMind96.
The chickenhawks in DC don’t care whose lives they put in danger. The are gung ho cheerleading the Ukrainians, who are dying by the hundreds each day, and now they’ll gladly sacrifice Taiwanese for their own vanity. Graham is one of the worst, and should be shut down by the saner minds in the Senate. If they can’t see how Pelosi’s visit has already increased hardships for the Taiwanese, then they need to open their eyes and shut their mouths.
“Graham is one of the worst, and should be shut down by the saner minds in the Senate.”
I’m trying hard to think of a sane mind in the senate. Rand Paul comes to mind but when push comes to shove, his balls shrink to the size of raisins.
A wise call, may cooler minds prevail. Putting a war bill on the Senate floor in front of swamp monsters from the war industry is surely a not a good idea.
This is playing both sides to the middle. If Biden REALLY didn’t want Pelosi to make a big splash in Taiwan, he would’ve said so, she would’ve been stopped. They can pretend he is a serious deliberative president (you know, the same guy who blurted out that he wanted to overthrow Putin) until the public isn’t paying so much attention and then ram this garbage legislation through as is, no edits. I don’t believe anything this administration says anymore.
Geez Joe, isn’t this what you wanted? Shocking that our senate full of hawks would take the cue.
It’s a big problem when our policy makers think we are omnipotent when we are anything but.
Most of the world’s legislatures/dumas/parliaments/assemblies, etc., whether in a democracy or dictatorship tend to be full of warmongers so they can appear tough. That includes the females, too.
Especially females it seems. Unless I wasn’t paying attention 30 years ago. I know they were around before Hillary, but she seems to have set the bar and we’ve been seeing more and more hawks amongst the ladies ever since. At least here in the States.
Ah yes, Victoria Nuland, Hillary, Avril Haines, Bloody Gina Haspel, Michelle Flournoy, Samantha Power, Fiona Hill, … all lovely examples of pathological penis envy.
They would have done this in the near future anyway, just like Ukraine would have joined NATO if Russia had not taken preemptive actions.
Regardless what Pelosi says the Taiwanese have no reason to trust the US to defend them against China, even if Biden said so, but he wants to be ambiguous for good reason. The Ukrainians trusted the US, the Taiwanese should take a good look and see the results.
Let’s get some facts straight. There is no country called Taiwan, ever. Its official name is Republic of China(ROC), which used to govern Taiwan and China mainland. 1949 ROC led by President Chiang Kaishek lost in a civil war to revolutionaries led by Mao and moved the Govt to Taiwan. Mao established a govt called People’s Republic of China (PRC) on the mainland. Over the years both sides have launched attacks on each other without success. So what is happening around Taiwan is nothing new. It is a Chinese civil war! One can’t call that aggression one way or the other!
So when you hear someone say defend Taiwan from China, they are actually saying defend Chinese(ROC) from Chinese(PRC). Funny, right?
Yes, and Chiang’s Kuomintang spent the war (and the US funding) fighting Mao, not the Japs, while Mao was fighting the Japs. When it was all over Chiang and cronies, the old corrupt elite and rump gangster army, absconded to Formosa with the Treasury, and set themselves up as the gov. there. So this is a long-standing putre-faction that very much needs to be dealt with.
Correct. Western propaganda tells the exact opposite… but the peasants weren’t stupid and saw who did what. In fact many of the KMT soldiers switched sides and help run off the rest to Taiwan
“At last this country is going to war”
“‘If you put this on the floor of the Senate, it would pass overwhelmingly,’ Graham told Bloomberg.” He’s correct. I have no doubt all the cockroaches will come out in support. The main question here as a result, is China going to allow the US to establish a military base in Taiwan? That’s what my math is telling me: Taiwan independence = US military base in Taiwan. I would not like to see a war between my country and China because Graham, Menendez, Pelosi, and other despicable individuals “overwhelmingly” will it to happen. Some assure me that’s not exactly provoking China. I don’t think that even W could pull off a “mission accomplished” banner on such a war while keeping our boys in their body bags hidden from the cameras. I hope my math is wrong.
If this act passes, China will immediately put their Taiwan occupation and recovery plan, which I’m sure they’ve been preparing for a long time, in motion. And there’s absolutely nothing we can do about it either.
Some people are speculating that there already IS a base.
Like the base the Soviets had in Cuba. We sure didn’t like that, did we. China pulling a more purposeful Kennedy action now.
Impossible to hide in 2022. That’s just rumor mongering.
There are apprx 40 admitted rotating trainers including the CIA and special ops. That is what is admitted to, which may not reflect the whole truth.
The United States is clearly suicidal.
“Come on man” to quote senile angry old man Joey Biden.
Joey Biden is merely a placeholder in the White House “fiddling while Rome burns”, to use another euphemism.
There is no hope for a coherent Taiwan policy while the White House is semi-occupied by a non-leader.
Or any coherent policy including domestic policy.
“Taipei a “major non-NATO ally,” could see the One-China policy “in effect gutted.”
Taiwan is not in the Atlantic, hence the North Atlantic Treaty Organization appears to be a sick joke as it desperately tries to remain relevant many years after it’s founding.
The One China Policy, which the world recognized for decades, means that Taiwan is part of the soverign nation of China, PERIOD! Texas has a better claim on leaving the United States than Taiwan has of becoming a separate and soverign nation on it’s own.
Taiwan does not need to become a vassal state of America. However, due to the weak and senile Joey Biden Neo-Conservatives are provoking hostilities by poking the Panda once again.
China/Taiwan, N/S Vietnam, N/S Korea, E/W Germany have one thing in common, all were divided by American military actions. Modern history. We need a New World Order badly, the hegemon is a destructive monster.
And at home they can’t take care of the potholes in the streets and collapsing bridges and can’t provide potable drinking-water. Funding the military and all the wars is impoverishing and shrinking the working middle class wage earners, housing health and education is completely neglected but for war they always have the money. Over-expanded military and neglect of the people at home, the result of incompetent and corrupt government ended the Roman empire, it took a long time, it took 2 WW to end the British empire, we are at it for several decades already.
IF / when China invades Taiwan it will become another US proxy war just like them proxy war in Ukraine against Russia , like Ukraine Taiwan does not have the infantry numbers to win but that won`t stop the US keeping the conflict going for as long as possible , as long as US Troops aren`t being killed the US could careless.
Neocons like Menendez and Graham are willing to have the US military defend half the world or more. That’s quite a commitment! They seem to be willing to have American boys & girls fight and die for Taiwan, a place most Americans are unfamiliar with. There is no upside to their vision.
The money required doesn’t exist. They don’t care. They are fine with forcing Americans to commit to, and accept a lower standard of living, to make the US the world’s colonial empire. How does the average American benefit?
If Biden really opposes the bill, he should announce that he will veto it — and, if it passes, do so.
By the way, one sentence is questionable:
“This would make the island the fourth-largest recipient of US security assistance, behind only Kiev, Tel Aviv and Cairo.”
When did we give security assistance to the city of Tel Aviv?
Kiev surpassed Tel Aviv…?! Wow… Israel will be jealous as hell…! They want to be the number one sucker of US aid…!
Good cop, bad cop theater. Biden plays good cop until the time is right to agree with the war mongers. Biden is a war monger in case you forgot.
Menendez is an old school money politician, who is funding this??
And I’ll just put this in a separate post in case it doesn’t make it through but since Graham openly and quite publicly encouraged Putin’s murder, would it be morally acceptable for Putin to encourage Graham’s murder? Because I wouldn’t be too surprised if Putin got one or more takers, and I expect Graham’s security isn’t nearly as good as his. But, fortunately for Graham, Putin isn’t a trash talking weasel.
What’s the point of taking on the security of an island on the other side of the Pacific that isn’t the US? Even if the US wasn’t plainly wrong, WTF? Should we build all the Taiwanese swimming pools too while we’re at it? I know politicians are power crazed sociopaths and the MIC needs to be fed but still, WTF?
Graham’s “it’s a miscalculation of how to keep the world in order” is like a sick joke coming from somebody who’s been a driving force behind a great deal of this century’s carnage thus far. Millions dead, trillions wasted, whole countries wantonly brutalized at Graham’s prodding and he has the flaming gall to posture about “how to keep the world in order”. That he isn’t shouted down or shut away tells you everything you need to know about the state of American politics.