CBS News reported Tuesday that both Israel and Hamas have agreed “in principle” to a draft hostage and ceasefire deal that could be finalized this week.
The report, which cited US, Arab, and Israeli officials, said if the final details are worked out and the Israeli government approves it, the deal could be implemented as soon as this weekend, before the January 20 inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump.
The Associated Press had a similar report that said Hamas had accepted a draft deal and that details were still being finalized before Israeli approval. The deal is largely based on a proposal President Biden put forward in May 2024, which Hamas accepted months ago.
According to Israeli media reports, pressure on Netanyahu from Trump’s incoming Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, is the reason why there’s been progress in recent days.
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The deal involves three phases, but according to AP, it would not commit Israel to a permanent ceasefire or full withdrawal from Gaza.
The AP report reads: “Details of the second phase still must be negotiated during the first. Those details remain difficult to resolve — and the deal does not include written guarantees that the ceasefire will continue until a deal is reached. That means Israel could resume its military campaign after the first phase ends.”
According to media reports, the first phase involves a 42-day ceasefire, and during that time, Hamas would release 33 Israeli hostages, including women, children, the elderly, and five female IDF soldiers. Some of the hostages released in the first phase may be dead, but Israeli officials said they believe most are still alive. In exchange, Israel is expected to release hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.
During the first phase, Israeli troops will withdraw from population centers in Gaza, and Palestinians will be able to return to north Gaza, although there is nothing for them to return to since IDF has destroyed nearly every building in sight. Aid deliveries will also be surged, with 600 trucks per day expected to enter the Strip.
The second phase of the deal would involve the release of all male Israeli hostages from Gaza and a full IDF withdrawal, with many details still needing to be worked out. The third phase would involve the exchange of bodies and the start of the reconstruction of Gaza.
We've been there before. The rumor is however that the real goal is to de-stabilize Egypt so it is forced to accept the Palestinian refugees, which will in turn bring eventually another Sinai crisis, etc. Israel wants all those deserts for their own use, they can't effectively settle densely occupied areas like Syria or Lebanon but they have uses for sparsely populated ones like Naqab or Sinai.
My instinct is not trust it.
Yes, we're to believe BB had a conversion on the stainless slab.
Until they show us Witkoff's quid-itties, we gotta believe Israel still 'has the right to defend itself'.
Of course. I’m not buying that Adelson’s handmaiden is suddenly so rogue.
I would wish that he was, but history would argue.
Yes, in fact, an analysis would show that every one of his appointments signifies a ‘deal’ with a donor. He has zero autonomy, … unless, as you say, he goes rogue; whereat they’ll shoot him again, or provide he has an accident, or gets prostate cancer, ….
Hamas returns hostages that Israel hasn’t killed yet and then a false flag and the Palestinians get wiped out.
Israelis are satisfied and the bloodlust proceeds without any objection from hostages’ families.
I hope I am wrong.
Yes, without showing the enforcement mechanism, the stick, the assumption is bad faith.
If true, and If this kind of depraved mentality captured all of Israeli society, how can there be a turning back?
https://x.com/zei_squirrel/status/1879279910046581167
Please, tell me that is not true.
I can’t, I don’t know. But that commenter has been pretty credible thus far.
Thanks, all is possible, I know. It is possible, that alone is bad enough.
That video reminds me of Brave New World, “orgy porgy” excitement.
Not familiar.
BB wants to make Trump happy until after the inauguration, then they will proceed as usual.
Is there by any chance oil under the sand? That would make a difference, Israelis claim all natural resources./s
Better than oil: trade routes. Remember that when the Crusades were launched there was no use for oil (other than maybe “Greek fire”) but there was always the desire to control the route between Europe and India and Asia in general. Remember that the British Empire was said to depend almost completely on the Suez Canal and that the USA let it fall to Egypt in the 1950s precisely to consolidate its overlordship on Europe’s last great powers (Britain and France, which sided with Israel and lost). Since the Ptolemaids (Hellenism, post-Alexander’s Western World Order) or maybe even earlier, Europe has desired the spices from Asia even if they were “useless” luxury items (which produced much wealth to merchants and tax offices however), later it desired the resources of Asia and thus Britain conquered India in a barely known blitz that would have dazzled Alexander himself and subjugated China to opium addiction. Today the so-called Middle East, especially the better called Near East (Levant, Egypt, Turkey) is still crucial to the most massive trade route on Earth, the one linking Europe and Asia but also the Eastern USA to much of that trade area (the Pacific Ocean occupies almost half of Earth and is not directly connected to New York City or most other US major cities).
In fact, the current genocide of Gaza was denounced already in 2017 to have been decided (by Trump, Netanyahu and Bin Salman, probably Al Sissi too) in order to build a second “Suez Canal” totally under Israeli (and thus US imperial) control, the so-called Ben Gurion Canal project. See: https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20170624-saudi-prince-reveals-us-conditions-for-mohamed-bin-salman-to-be-king/
Fascinating history, so now Trump has an eye on Greenland and Panama, it is beginning to make sense. That is how megalomaniacs really think.
And Canada, which is the big prize in that “routine expansion”. But sure the Arctic and Panama trade routes (real the latter, more potential the former) are definitely part of what Trump has in mind. They already control those routes by proxy anyhow (claiming that Panama is in Chinese hands is preposterous!), so the change won’t make much of a difference but seems like a consolidation and also something to show to followers (plebs and oligarchs alike) as “achievement”.
Reconstruction? I’ll believe it when I see it.
Until Gaza shows that they are not going to start another war, why would anyone pay for reconstruction?
The Israelis will have to pay, they did it. They committed the war crime of the 21st century.
All funding the US provided to Israel needs to be transferred and paid to the Palestinian people, going back to 1948 when the Zionists expelled some 800 thousand people without reimbursing them, making them penniless refugees, the grandparents and parents of the people in Gaza. The Israelis have a lot to make up for.
But your little mind can't comprehend that.
"…the deal could be implemented as soon as this weekend, before the January 20 inauguration…" Israel wants to give the credit to the Democrats? …Sorry. I meant to say Demo* Rats.
There will be no credit given to Biden for this deal. Trump, will take the credit by claiming that the Palestinians made the deal because they were afraid of him. See Iranians hostages release 1980 to see how this works.
How many more must die to summon Christ?
Aid is good.
Israel has repeatedly shown that it will NEVER honor an agreement when they see they can ALWAYS get away with LYING and MURDER, thanks to its political SLAVES around the globe!
"Israel has repeatedly shown that it will NEVER honor an agreement" Can you explain how the peace agreements between Israel and Egypt and Israel and Jordon was honor by Israel?
”It’s every man’s war that keeps us apart, with stalwart convictions and affairs of the heart… To struggle for victory, until we are free… The day will soon come, when we’ll all be released… In Peace…” djv
Peace, a wonder to come true, but it could be at the end of a global nuclear war.
We have decades of criminal elites ruling democracies.
Israelis are out demonstrating AGAINST the deal. Some Israelis need to learn the consequences of war on their own bodies, the hard way.
As long as others pay with their lives they are ok with the brutalism of war, the same is true of Americans, people in general.
Genocide is not even war, it is a massacre of defenseless people, infants and toddlers included.
Israelis know the consequences of war. They live it everyday. When was the last time you had to run into a bomb shelter in the middle of the night?
The Israelis don’t know the consequences, the IDF IS NOT FACING AN ARMY ONLY UNARMED CIVILIANS MOSTLY WOMEN AND CHILDREN. The American tax payers are footing the bill.
How lucky the Israelis are, they have BOMB SHELTERS, Palestinians live in tent made of rags and blankets.
Your talk tells me you know nothing about war. You never heard an air raid siren in your life. You never think about the children in Gaza and what it means to be bombed daily without air raid warnings and shelters to run to. I do know, I slept in shelters and I know what an air raid siren sounds like. The miles of rubble in Gaza don’t tell you anything, the rubble is shelter for thousands of dead bodies including babies. You and Israelis know nothing, to you the Palestinians are animals. IGNORANCE IS BLISS, at least you can sleep at night.
And what shelter did you sleep in? Tell me more. The Palestinians started the current war on Oct 7 and they chose to keep it going by not freeing the hostages. Do they die because of their decision, yes they do. Maybe this time they will understand just how dumb of decision they made on Oct 7, but probably not.
You are one of those who think the Palestinians can kill Israelis whenever they want and not pay a price. Well they can not.
Your ignorance is unbelievable.
“The Palestinians” didn’t carry out the October 7 attacks. A particular organization did.
Do you think about the initiators of World Wars I + II in the last century in the same way (alike)?
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/nationalism/
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/patriotism/
https://encyclopedia.1914-1918-online.net/article/imperialism/
https://encyclopedia.ushmm.org/content/en/article/spanish-civil-war
https://www.fondapol.org/en/study/pogroms-in-palestine-before-the-creation-of-the-state-of-israel-1830-1948/
https://www.khanacademy.org/humanities/whp-1750 World History Project – 1750 to the Present
https://sourcebooks.fordham.edu/global/globalsbook.asp#Western%20Hegemony
https://pressbooks.nscc.ca/worldhistory/chapter/chapter-6-imperialism/
https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/imperialism
“Do you think about the initiators of World Wars I + II in the last century in the same way (alike)?”
Yes.
However, your yes contradicts the negotiated peace treaties of the First and Second World Wars.
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1914-1920/paris-peace
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/war-time-conferences
https://adst.org/2016/10/japan-world-war-ii-peace-treaty-macarthur/
https://adst.org/2014/07/the-paris-peace-conference-1946/
http://ppuam.amu.edu.pl/uploads/PPUAM%20vol%20.10%20Anniversary/10_Klafkowski.pdf The Potsdam Agreement as Reflected in Peace Treaties
https://www.britannica.com/event/Potsdam-Conference
https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/potsdam-conference
https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/a-short-history-of-the-war-crimes-trials-after-the-second-world-war
https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/truman-potsdam/ Berlin Potsdam Conference, 1945 — Protocol of the Proceedings
https://www.americanforeignrelations.com/O-W/Treaties-World-war-ii-and-security-agreements.html
https://www.ili.org/ili-hosted-reception-and-conference-on-the-unknown-peace-agreement-how-the-helsinki-geneva-vienna-paris-negotiations-of-the-csce-produced-the-final-peace-agreement-to-formally-conclude-world-war-ii/
How does my evaluation of the parties that started World War One “contradict” later agreements between those parties?
Which nation bears responsibility for the start of the two World Wars I + II of the last century?
“Which nation bears responsibility for the start of the two World Wars I + II of the last century?”
All of the participating regimes.
Are you not familiar with the institution of state responsibility, liability for public officials?
https://www.britannica.com/topic/international-law/The-responsibility-of-states
https://www.diakonia.se/ihl/resources/international-law/state-responsibility-international-law/
https://digitalcommons.law.ggu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=&httpsredir=1&article=1225&context=pubs State Responsibility And International Liability Under International Law
https://legal.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/draft_articles/9_6_2001.pdf Responsibility of States for Internationally Wrongful Acts
https://legal.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/English/commentaries/9_6_2001.pdf Draft articles on Responsibility of States for Internationally Wrongful Acts, with commentaries
https://www.mpil.de/files/pdf4/mpunyb_03_Roeben_16.pdf Responsibility in International Law
https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/bitstream/handle/document/44622/ssoar-jlibertyintaff-2015-2-dimitrovska-The_concept_of_international_responsibility.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
https://www.zaoerv.de/01_1929/1_1929_1_a_223_250.pdf Theoretical Aspects of the International Responsibility of States.
https://academic.oup.com/ejil/article/17/3/605/2756266 New State Responsibility for Internationally Wrongful Acts by an Insurrectional Movement
Yes, I’m familiar with the institution known as “the state.” And I oppose its existence and hold it liable for all its actions.
Finally, the signing of a ceasefire has not yet been published.
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/2025-01-13/live-updates-837303 Deal updates: Hamas claims Israel is adding new conditions, negotiations persist
https://www.timesofisrael.com/arab-official-trump-envoy-swayed-netanyahu-more-in-one-meeting-than-biden-did-all-year/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/01/14/israel-gaza-ceasefire-deal-negotiations-hamas-hostages/
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-gaza-ceasefire-draft-terms-hostages-3df21b67620fdc8f62aa1d1e96487880 A look at the terms — and tensions — in the Israel-Hamas draft ceasefire deal
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/15/us-calls-for-post-conflict-vision-as-gaza-ceasefire-nears
https://www.thehindu.com/topic/israel-palestine-conflict/ India, the most populous country in the world https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/
https://indianexpress.com/article/world/hamas-accepts-draft-agreement-of-gaza-ceasefire-with-israel-officials-9779464/
http://www.china.org.cn/world/2025-01/14/content_117662370.htm Israel, Hamas edge closer to ceasefire in Gaza, but hurdles remain
https://www.reuters.com/world/israel-hamas/
https://www.ft.com/content/6ed236ca-c457-4060-bc16-3a91506c5764 Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Gaza at closest point yet, say officials
https://www.palestinechronicle.com/ceasefire-talks-israel-hamas-near-agreement-on-gaza-prisoner-exchange/
The governments of Israel and Palestine will decide on the ceasefire agreements on Thursday, valid from January 19, 2025. Some clauses of the agreement still need to be resolved.
In full: Qatar announces Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal (Press conference)
‘At long last’: Biden speaks on Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/2025-01-13/live-updates-837303 US, Israeli officials say hostage deal has been reached
https://www.timesofisrael.com/herzog-urges-cabinet-to-support-gaza-deal-as-smotrich-threatens-to-bolt-coalition/
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-reach-ceasefire-agreement-designed-end-15-month-gaza-war-official-2025-01-15/
https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-hamas-gaza-ceasefire-hostages-01-15-24/index.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ceasefire-israel-hamas-gaza-palestinians-rcna160847 Israel and Hamas reach deal on Gaza ceasefire and hostage release
https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20250115-%F0%9F%94%B4-live-israel-and-hamas-reach-gaza-ceasefire-agreement-and-hostage-release-deal
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-january-15-2025/?utm_source=article_hpsidebar&utm_medium=desktop_site&utm_campaign=gaza-ceasefire-hostage-deal-on-brink-of-finalization-as-reports-spell-out-details