President Biden met with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Washington on Monday as the two leaders tried to show a united front amid heightened tensions with Russia over Ukraine.
Germany has not been as eager to stoke conflict between Ukraine and Russia as some of its NATO allies and is not sending weapons to Kyiv, drawing condemnation from some Ukrainian officials.
Berlin has cited historical reasons as to why they don’t want to send weapons that could be used in a war in Eastern Europe. Another reason for Germany’s hesitation is its trade relationship with Russia, and Berlin’s desire for the Nord Stream 2 pipeline to finally start flowing with gas.
At a joint press conference, President Biden said if Russia invades Ukraine, “there will be no longer a Nord Stream 2. We will bring an end to it.” But when Scholz was asked if Germany would “pull the plug” on the pipeline in the event of a Russian invasion, he stressed unity with allies but wouldn’t make the commitment.
“As I’ve already said, we are acting together, we are absolutely united, and we will not be taking different steps. We will do the same steps, and they will be very, very hard to Russia, and they should understand,” Scholz said.
Germany relies on Russia for more than 50 percent of its natural gas supply, a number that will increase once Nord Stream 2 is operating. Russia also provides the EU as a whole with about a third of its gas.
NATO has said it’s “concerned” about Europe’s reliance on Russian gas. As things stand now, the trade relationship makes a conflict in the region less likely.
For their part, Russia has repeatedly denied that it is planning to invade Ukraine, and Ukrainian officials have been contradicting the US narrative about a potential Russian assault by downplaying Washington’s warnings.
The stupid part is Russia couldn’t care less. They’ve already recouped their investment due to the recent high energy prices. And they’ve got another pipeline coming up going to China. The only countries hurt by stopping NS2 is the EU. The US knows this. The US is sacrificing the EU in order to squeeze the last dollar out of them by selling them LNG before they collapse.
I eish it were this simple. US must congrol Europe and nott let its advanced capabilities be leveraged by Russia’s cheep energy or Chinese open market or infrastructure prowess.
So, what is to be done?
Two moves are afoot — separating Europe from
continental connectivity to the globe — through Russia. Europe can become integrated into the fastest growing economies of Eurasian continent. No need for dependance on US-UK thalassocracy. Second move — cut off Europe from Asia, by controlling Bab-al-Mandeb straits connecting Asia to Europe by Red Sea. Since US cannot control Suez canal, it must control the straits. This is what Yemen war is sll about. Saudis and UAE have been alternatively used to work with each other and agaunst each other to maintain chaos, and establish control over both sides if the straits. The status today is as clear as mud.
But should US suceed and Gibraltar already conntrolled by British -/ Europe would be cut off frim the world.
Us snd UK to Germany and France — trust us, not bad Russians — we will NEVER block you from the world. Trust us!
And here we are. Germany keeping good relations with Russia would make US gambit on Ded Sea straits semi-pointless. It will STILL remain the powerful weapon against all Red sea dependent states for Asia trade — Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Yemen. This is why Saydi Arabis and Egypt joined SCO, This is why Sudan military kucked out US “civil society” from the governing coslition, this why Ethiopia and Eritrea jointly stopped Tigray, US supported clique that rulled Ethioia, from coming back to government by force,
Europe must stay US controlled — the only part of Eurasian territoty — apart from South Korea.
And South Korea is itself cut off from the continent by North Korea, it is in fact an island.
Without Europe, US snd UK become Oceania.
Interesting points that I wasn’t aware of. However, when I say the US is “sacrificing” Europe, I didn’t mean that they were “giving up” Europe. I meant that they were sacrificing the European economy to the US’ own economy by cutting Europe off from Russia over this manufactured crisis.
It’s not certain yet whether the Europeans have enough balls to cut themselves off from the US and join Eurasia. Andrei Martyanov seems skeptical that the EU will rebel against this current anti-Russia push by the US. Will be interesting to see.
If all this is true, however, it makes it even less likely that any negotiated settlement with Russia is possible, or that the Biden administration is serious about such negotiations. Another strike against the Pollyannas.
The true story is opposite of the narrative. The narrative is that Ukraine is the threat and that in retaliation, they will shut down the pipeline. In truth, the real threat (to US hegemony) is what the pipeline represents, and to fight against it they are using a fabricated Ukraine crisis.
US is fighting windmills , thinking they are enemies. Europe is the enabler — letting US exausts its energies on pointless objectives, hoping it will see its own problems soon.
As if Germany cannot see this. By separating Germany frim anything Russian, having no codependency — just like UK suceeded before, US hopes to turm Germans again into Russias enemy, a sacrificial mass of humanity servicing the common good of preserving Anglo-American empire, Two flies with one stroke.
The absurdity is — why would Getmany voluntarily deprive itself from energy with no realistic alternative in sight? Why destroy its industry and profitable sales to China?
There is no why in politics. Politics applies law if physics. Power, force, leverage. strength, conductivity, speed, mass, resistance. durability, corrosion, etc
Germany may have vulnerabilities we do not understand. That may lead to forced suicidal moves.
As Andrei Martyanov says, geopolitics depends on geography – which means economic power – and military power. The problem is that politics in general – meaning internal and geopolitics – depends on human nature – and that’s always a recipe for disaster.
Bernhard weighs in on an alternative vision Russia might have.
Europe Should Leave NATO Behind And Integrate With Russia
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/europe-should-leave-nato-behind-and-integrate-with-russia.html
Well, well, it appears that Gilbert Doctorow is beginning to get the picture… In this article, he sounds like me. A big turnaround from his “it’s all going to work out due to diplomacy” earlier articles here.
The fatigue factor: the ongoing marathon of European diplomacy is a useless distraction
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/02/08/the-fatigue-factor-the-ongoing-marathon-of-european-diplomacy-is-a-useless-distraction/
And just I said in a previous post, that’s exactly what happened.
Yup. Exactly as I said in that previous post.
Gilbert gets that exactly right. What matters is forces on the ground.
Needless to say, this is exactly the scenario I’ve been talking about for months now.
Meanwhile, there’s the UK and Poland’s contribution to the war plan…
British-trained far-right militia arrives on frontline in Donbass as Western aggression in Ukraine continues
https://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/article/w/british-trained-far-right-militia-arrives-frontline-donbass-western-aggression
And more UK support for the CIA/neocon plan…
UK to arm Ukraine with anti-ship missiles against Russia – Kiev’s envoy
https://news.antiwar.com/2022/02/07/biden-germanys-scholz-try-to-show-united-front-amid-ukraine-tensions/
And more UK support for the CIA/neocon plan…
UK to arm Ukraine with anti-ship missiles against Russia – Kiev’s envoy
https://news.antiwar.com/2022/02/07/biden-germanys-scholz-try-to-show-united-front-amid-ukraine-tensions/
Very comprehensive article from Michael Hudson. I haven’t read much from him, but I’ve seen his name everywhere. But this seems very good. Fits in with Andrei Martyanov’s opinion that the US is sacrificing the EU’s economy in favor of its own.
America’s real adversaries are its European and other allies: The U.S. aim is to keep them from trading with China and Russia
https://thesaker.is/americas-real-adversaries-are-its-european-and-other-allies-the-u-s-aim-is-to-keep-them-from-trading-with-china-and-russia/
And from the inimitable Maria Zakharova, the same message…
Germany an ‘occupied state’ — Russia
US ambassadors give orders in Berlin, backed by American boots on the ground, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman tells RT
https://www.rt.com/russia/548712-germany-occupied-us-nordstream-zakharova/
So if the US is doing that to Germany, what do you think they’re doing to pipsqueak Ukraine, eh? And yet some people think Zelensky has agency to implement Minsk?