A deal with Iran over its nuclear program has been all but finalized for weeks and the ongoing diplomatic exchange between the major players is part of an elaborate “choreography,” according to some inside accounts.
Writing in the Washington Post, David Ignatius explains that “the basic framework [for a settlement] was set weeks ago” and that the U.S., Iran, and even Israel are “following the script.”
According to Ignatius, the impending deal is that “Iran would agree to stop enriching uranium to the 20 percent level and to halt work at an underground facility near Qom built for higher enrichment. Iran would export its stockpile of highly enriched uranium for final processing to 20 percent, for use in medical isotopes.”
“Iran is following the script,” writes Ignatius, and will “describe their actions not as concessions to the West but as ‘confidence-building’ measures,” while ” the West would describe its easing of sanctions not as a climb down but as ‘reciprocity.'” He calls the public “language of these talks” an “exercise.”
On Monday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the press that, as the U.S. and world powers negotiated with Iran, he thought Iran has been “given a freebie.” President Obama, while away at a conference in Latin America, almost immediately retorted, objecting to Netanyahu’s gripe. Ignatius says this exchange was “choreographed” to ensure Iranians are pressured to follow through with the deal.
“Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu played his expected role in this choreography,” he writes, describing it as “a perfect rebuff — just scornful enough to keep the Iranians (and the Americans, too) worried that the Israelis might launch a military attack this summer if no real progress is made in the talks.”
On one hand, the idea that all these public statements are a pre-planned pirouette seems far-fetched. But Anshel Pfeffer writing in Haaretz writes that Ignatius’s account ties “in with Barak Ravid’s report this morning in Haaretz quoting an American official saying that Netanyahu had been ‘fully briefed’ on Saturday’s P5+1 talks with Iran in Istanbul.”
According to Ignatius, the deal “seems likely to succeed if each side keeps to the script and doesn’t muff its lines.” The account may be all in Ignatius’s head – in order for it to be true, all parties would have to sincerely believe the aforementioned deal is in their interest – but for now the public waits for a conclusion to the current diplomatic talks.
It’s quite plausible that an agreement has already been made. Because it’s hard to see what U.S.’s next step would be in the event no agreement is reaches? Mr Obama has already sanctioned Iran’s oil and its central bank. His next step would be an actual oil embargo, which would provoke war.
This pre-agreement would prevent war as well as allow both sides to save face.
HHHHHHmmmmmmmmm……………………….. Say it ain't so ………. though nothin in which MM Secretary is involved……….would ever surprise me (us?) as more negative than could be imagined Horatio or at least till the conclusion to that vexing and oft contemplated historical "problem"…… Th'One of Th'ages…..
Without any "basic framework" there would hardly be any successful high-level diplomacy any more. I believe it's not unusual at all to have some basic script being agreed upon to follow. Any seriously detailed discussions would take many weeks and could not happen during the higher level "talks".
I believe the issue of "choreography" only comes up because the outcome is so much anticipated on this time. One has to wonder why this would be seen as remarkable at all. More interesting would be to outline how long this deal has been in the workings already. My suspicion is already quite a long time, before the sanctions which politically couldn't be stopped any more and that Iran knew this already at the time. With both sides being aware they were victim of their own political internal oppositional forces, what else to do?
Meanwhile the American public has to pay through the nose for increased gas costs due to the warmongering of Israel and the United States– but that's the sort of Public Consumption that makes the oil companies happy and the Neocons could care less about. . . . until Bubba figures out he doesn't have to worry about finding money to fill up the tank of his pick-up because he's not going to have a job to drive to anyway. Then even the slowest and most gullible of Americans are going to have lots of free time to figure out who's actually been hosing them.
As the cynical skeptic that I am, I have to bet that Netanyahoo is not going to stay on script thru the end of the 3rd Act. He has too many different audiences to which he is playing to; his ultra-radical political colleagues which enable his coalition to rule, the general Israeli population, the American ultra-radical religious Congress, the American Jewish population who send money to Israel…and last but not least are the Iranians (both Imams and the general citizenry).
To all of these disparate audiences, Netanyahoo has been decidedly bombastic and threatening in his talk toward or about Iran. If there were to be an agreement reached between the P5plus1 (plus1) and Iran, that would require Netanyahoo do an enormous amount of walking back from previous statements and tone. I really can't see him intentionally losing that kind of face – he's too proud and self immolation is not part of his character.
Not that I wouldn't like to see relative peace dampen the threat level, but…
Washington Post being the heart and soul of mainstream media, it all being corporate owned media, this is just propaganda that the Western multinational corporate rich want us to believe, which has nothing to do with reality.
Just another gambit by the rogue state of Israel to extort more "aid" from US taxpayers, as yet to be completely played out whilst we go through this excruciatingly painful, yet meaningless, dance leading up to the election of another imperial president, either tweedledee or tweedledum…
I have no idea what Ignatius is saying. Iran doesn't have a stockpile of "highly enriched uranium" for starters. Fordow isn't built for "higher enrichment" than 20%. And, 20% uranium is not used "in isotopes".
This makes me think not.
Maybe the west is feeling the pinch ( HIGH GAS PRICES) And before this sanction business blows up in their faces,they want an end to it. I'm sure what ever they do Iran will get the short end of the stick! All his BS for Israel!
There is no doubt that talks that preceded the last Saturday's meeting set up some rough guidelines on what a final settlement might entail. It seems like the US has agreed in advance to allow Iran to continue enriching U for nuclear power plant fuel. Iran must have agreed to drop some of its political demands. But Ignatius's claim that the entire process has been choreographed in advance is simply absurd. I am sure that there are people on Obama's national security team that are Israel firsters who would like to sabotage these talks for Israel's sake. They are the ones probably leaking this information to Ignatius with some longer term goal of discrediting the talks when Iran begins to make some tough demands.
Ignorious is in the hunt for the Judith Miller Pull-it-Sir award for Best Tool of the Year Award. This story is more absurd than the Revolutionary Guard-drunk ex-pat used car salesman-Mexican drug cartel-assassinate the Saudi and Israeli ambassador plot.